Society

CoffeeHousers’ Wall, 19 January – 25 January

Welcome to the latest CoffeeHousers’ Wall. For those who haven’t come across the Wall before, it’s a post we put up each Monday, on which – provided your writing isn’t libellous, crammed with swearing, or offensive to common decency – you’ll be able to say whatever you like in the comments section. There is no topic, so there’s no need to stay ‘on topic’ – which means you’ll be able to debate with each other more freely and extensively. There’s also no constraint on the length of what you write – so, in effect, you can become Coffee House bloggers. Anything’s fair game – from political stories in your local

James Forsyth

A setback for Tory radicalism

Radical reform of Britain’s public services must be a priority for the next Tory government. But today’s reshuffle was a blow to the reform agenda. This morning, two of the three key public service jobs—education, welfare and health—were in the hands of committed reformers. Now, only education is. The reformers have long given up on making progress on health until, at the earliest, Cameron’s second term. A political decision was made right at the beginning of Cameron’s leadership to simply try and shut down the debate on health. Consequently, Tory health policy has been subcontracted out to the British Medical Association. But on education and welfare there were signs of

James Forsyth

Cameron corrects an error

David Cameron’s decision to move Dominic Grieve from Home to Justice shows that he is capable of rectifying his own mistakes, an important quality for leader. Grieve was appointed in a panic, in an effort to shut down the story when David Davis resigned over 42 days. It was apparent at the time that Grieve was not the man for the job; Nick Herbert would have been a far better pick. Chris Grayling will bring his phenomenal work-rate to the job. The Home Office is still not fit for purpose and one can be certain that Grayling will be terrier-like in uncovering scandals. However, Grayling will have to avoid acting

Is this how the Tories should respond to the “Tory cuts” attack?

As a respite from all the reshuffle talk (don’t worry: There Will Be More), it’s worth flagging up this passage in Peter Oborne’s Mail article today.  “To give one example of RBS’s suicidal carelessness among many, it is owed some £2.5billion by the Russian oligarch Leonid Blavatnik which will never be seen again. Next month, when the bank announces its results, it is expected to unveil a truly terrifying loss of approximately £30billion. These losses – and new ones are emerging every day – are all met by the British taxpayer. Indeed, RBS’s asset value merely needs to fall by 10 per cent, and twice the annual cost of the

CCHQ confirms all shadow cabinet changes

And here they are, courtesy of ConservativeHome: New to the Shadow Cabinet The Rt Hon Kenneth Clarke QC MP Shadow Secretary of State for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform Mark Francois MP Shadow Minister for Europe New Shadow Cabinet responsibilities Alan Duncan MP Shadow Leader of the House of Commons Chris Grayling MP Shadow Home Secretary The Rt Hon Dominic Grieve QC MP Shadow Secretary of State for Justice Nick Herbert MP Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs The Rt Hon Theresa May MP Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions and Shadow Minister for Women Eric Pickles MP Chairman of the Conservative Party Caroline

More reshuffle news

The reshuffle rumours keep flooding in.  Iain Dale’s list has Theresa May going to shadow work and pensions; Caroline Spelman to Local Government, Nick Herbert to Environment; Dominic Grieve to Justice; Chris Grayling to Home; and Alan Duncan as shadow leader of the Commons.  So far, May, Grayling, Herbert and Duncan have been confirmed.  Spelman and Grieve match with what we’re hearing in Coffee House Towers. To my mind, it’s mixture of good and bad.  Grayling’s one of the Tories’ best attacks dogs and should bring a bit of Davis-style punchiness to the shadow Home Secretary role.  But Nick Herbert’s paticular talents seem wasted on the Environment brief – he’s great on police, prisons, that kind of thing – although he’ll

James Forsyth

At least two shadow cabinet members are going to be sacked today

Caroline Spelman and Alan Duncan have both been moved from their current jobs but are staying in the Shadow Cabinet. This suggests that at least two of the current members of the Shadow Cabinet will be leaving. Other rumours doing the rounds at the moment are that Dominic Grieve will be moved to Justice and Nick Herbert to a frontline job, either Work and Pensions or DCLG. There’s also speculation that Andrew Mitchell will move back to domestic portfolio. Update: To no one’s great surprise, Peter Ainsworth has been sacked. He was Shadow Environment but faield to get much press or gain policy traction in the brief much to the

With delicate management, Clarke can be a powerful asset for Cameron

What’s my take on the return of Ken Clarke? Hm. I guess it’s summed up by four-and-a-bit words: let’s wait and see. A wishy-washy response, I know, but so much depends on whether Cameron’s got himself Clarke the Angel or Clarke the Devil that it’s hard to talk about success or failure in advance. Apparently, Clarke’s assured the Dave they he’ll be angelic – that he won’t stir up a storm over Europe, that he won’t deal out economic prescriptions that contradict the party line – but will the most rebellious Tory MP in the Commons be able to change his spots? Possibly. But it’s going to require some delicate

James Forsyth

The Speech

More than any other modern politician, Barack Obama’s political career has been made and punctuated by his speeches. He became a figure on the national political stage while still a State Senator in Illinois because of his speech to the Democratic National Convention in 2004. His Jefferson-Jackson speech in Iowa in late 2007 was the moment when it became clear he could take Hillary Clinton on head to head and win. His defiant concession speech after his shock loss in the New Hampshire primary showed that he could take a punch and his speech on race carried him through the Jeremiah Wright scandal. But Obama’s speech in Grant Park after

James Forsyth

The three messages the Tories need to get across on the economy

The Tories need to do three things when talking about the economy. First, give the public some straight talk about how bad the situation is. Second, pin sufficient blame on Gordon Brown and the government for the current problem. Finally they need to show the electorate that life would be better under the Conservatives, that after four years of Tory government the economy would be growing again and Britain would once more have a bright future. In strategic terms, the challenge the Tories face is similar to the one that the Reagan campaign faced in 1980. The Tories could learn a lot from Reagan’s economic rhetoric in that election. This

James Forsyth

The New Year brings bigger, better poll leads for the Tories

Before Christmas, the Tories were acutely aware of the need to start the New Year strongly. This morning’s polls suggest that they have done so. The Tories are now back above 40 percent with ComRes and on course for an overall majority with the pollster that has returned the worst Tory scores in recent months. In the YouGov poll for The Sunday Times, the Tories are on 45 percent, 13 points ahead—their biggest lead since October and a seven point increase in their advantage with the polster since last month. The Tories will be particularly pleased to see that the Cameron and Osborne edge over Brown and Darling on who will

The Diary of a Notting Hill Nobody

Sunday Totally shattered. Up at dawn doing Dave’s bookshelves for Marr with Wonky Tom. He brought a heap of boring stuff and wouldn’t let me put Katie Price’s Perfect Ponies out. Insisted on some weird sci-fi books that only he would read. After bit of negotiation I managed to get Black Beauty on the bottom shelf. But when I watched the tapes later you couldn’t see it. I know Dave doesn’t want to look too horsey but surely it would have been better than the phonebook? Tom claims not. Says addition of Thompson Local was genius and made it look like Dave nips out to pick up pizza. Whatever. Monday

Real Life | 17 January 2009

Another night without sleep because of the upstairs neighbours’ remarkable capacity for impromptu nocturnal romance. What I don’t understand is, why do these people always end up living in the flat above mine? Everywhere we read about the declining libido of the human species, the fact that fertility is down, that people are too tired to perform, that couples are struggling to find time for romance. Not in the flat above mine they are not. Oh, no, they are bucking the national trend quite nicely, thank you. In my little corner of Balham you would think they had just invented it. The problem is made worse by the fact that

Low Life | 17 January 2009

I’m in the barber’s chair, getting a trim, studying the reflections of the waiting customers in the mirror. One man, about 60 years old, his head in the Daily Mail, looks vaguely familiar. We’ve met somewhere before, I think. Then I remember. It was at one of our lurcher, terrier and ferret club summer shows. (Our club was disbanded shortly after the chairman died, so it must have been ten years ago at least.) I was stewarding the ferret show. We’d erected a gazebo to keep the sun off the show cages, and we’d strewn straw bales around for the exhibitors to sit on. The appointed judge was an old-school

High Life | 17 January 2009

Gstaad So what’s a few hundred dead Palestinian children when Tzipi and Ehud have gained eight to ten points in the polls? They were terrorist babies, anyway. So what if the Egyptians and Saudis are ignoring them while spending millions on hookers, palaces and yachts? The Gazans don’t deserve such goodies, certainly not palaces on the Riviera. My favourite is Yigal Palmor, an Israeli spokesman, who took umbrage when Cardinal Renato Martino, a high-ranking Vatican official, compared Gaza to a concentration camp. The Israeli whined that second world war imagery was below the belt. I suppose the Cardinal should have called it a beach resort. Oy veh, one can’t trust

The Turf | 17 January 2009

One of my favourite spectator sports is sitting, glass in hand, watching Mrs Oakley in the kitchen. There will be a stock reducing here, a pan with a few chopped leeks and onions there. A pinch of this, a sprinkle of that. A handful of coriander and a scrinch of lemon, a shlurp of rather better wine than should really be devoted to culinary purposes — and then probably another shlurp. It is all done with the confidence of a surgeon taking the first slice into a patient, the dexterity of a master cooper. There is no sign of the hesitation that seizes Mrs O when she is asked to