Society

James Forsyth

The unanswered Ashcroft questions return

As soon as Nat Rothschild’s letter to The Times about George Osborne and Deripaska was published, it was obvious that it was only a matter of time before the Ashcroft issue got dragged into the spotlight again. Sure enough, today Rachel Sylvester devotes her column to Ashcroft’s tax and residency status. There is no getting away from the fact that the questions about Ashcroft are legitimate. As Rachel points out, “The Conservative Party has, however, already taken millions of pounds from a man who refuses to say whether he is resident and pays tax in this country…. The problem is that Lord Ashcroft, who grew up in Belize, refuses to

Alex Massie

Department of Punditry

Oh dear. The days of the free lunch may be numbered: This blog aims to do one thing: track the forecasts of Britain pundits, bloggers and others on politics and elections, foreign affairs and economic trends. It is often said that there is no accountability for newspaper pundits – they can guess wrong time and again and see no consequences. With this blog and the way in which it highlights pundits’ forecasts, that may change. But our aim is not to catch out or embarrass pundits, or to record only mistaken predictions. We aim but to keep a record for posterity of all forecasts – those that are proved right,

Alex Massie

Britannia Sighs Again (This Time With Relief)

On the other hand, occasionally there is some good news. Plans for a “Britishness Day” have been dropped, it has emerged. The plan for a national holiday, like July 4 in the US or Bastille Day in France, was proposed as part of Gordon Brown’s plan to celebrate Britishness. It was one of the key recommendations of a citizenship review he commissioned from Lord Goldsmith last year. But minister Michael Wills told MPs that while some ideas from the review would be taken forward, there were no plans to introduce a national day. So at least we’re spared this naff embarrassment.

Alex Massie

Twittering

So, Twitter is the new rock’n’roll. Or something like that. Perhaps it is. Did you know, for instance, that Stephen Fry is a Twitterer? Well, he is and you can follow his feed here. (Mine is here, incidentally.)

James Forsyth

No hedge

James Surowiecki has a good primer on why nothing worked to counter the flurry of selling in the markets. Here’s the key part of his argument, but do read the whole thing: “Rating agencies and Wall Street analysts are always with us. But the most destructive procyclical force in today’s market is relatively new—hedge funds. There’s an irony here: hedge funds have been touted as a great countercyclical force. Because hedge-fund investors, unlike mutual-fund investors, usually can’t pull their money out on a daily basis, the funds were supposed to be able to take a longer-term view and pursue contrarian strategies (like the hedge-fund manager John Paulson’s huge bets against

CoffeeHousers’ Wall, 27 October – 2 November

Welcome to the latest CoffeeHousers’ Wall. For those who haven’t come across the Wall before, it’s a post we put up each Monday, on which – provided your writing isn’t libellous, crammed with swearing, or offensive to common decency – you’ll be able to say whatever you like in the comments section. There is no topic, so there’s no need to stay ‘on topic’ – which means you’ll be able to debate with each other more freely and extensively. There’s also no constraint on the length of what you write – so, in effect, you can become Coffee House bloggers. Anything’s fair game – from political stories in your local

Just in case you missed them… | 27 October 2008

Here are some of the posts made on Spectator.co.uk over the weekend: James Forsyth notes the BBC’s odd sense of priorities, and lambasts Gordon Brown’s role in the current economic downturn. Peter Hoskin tracks the latest developments in ‘Yachtgate’. Stephen Pollard celebrates truffles. Melanie Phillips observes the bus to Planet Hedonism. Clive Davis reports on the US Presidential race. And Americano identifies the main reason why McCain is losing.

James Forsyth

The wisdom (?) of pundits

Over at Centre Right, Peter Cuthbertson has launched a new blog dedicated to tracking the accuracy of pundit predictions. This is a fun idea—albeit one that rather fills those of us who make predictions with dread—so if you see any good examples do email Peter.

James Forsyth

Osborne to step back from fundraising 

Today’s papers report that following the Deripaska affair, George Osborne will no longer take a direct fundraising role. A source close to Osborne tells The Times, “Lessons have been learnt. From now on, George has decided that he will not be involved in discussions about individual donations from individual donors”. This is a sensible move. As shadow Chancellor, Osborne is too vulnerable to the appearance of conflicts of interest to play an active fundraising role. If he had carried on doing so, Labour would have made hay out of the issue. The Tories need to leave the business of fundraising to those like Michael Spencer and Andrew Feldman whose principal

Alex Massie

Britain’s Best Newspaper

Sure, you could read about an EU investigation into Peter Mandelson’s (dodgy) relationship with Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska. You might even enjoy the Observer telling Macavity Broon that he cannae escape responsibility for this recession. All fine stuff and worthy and useful and so on. But what you really want to read is this story about Geoge Osbourne’s alleged fascination with dog collars and rubber underpants. No “public interest” whatsoever. Great fun, in other words. God bless the News of the World.

James Forsyth

The petro-states could be left scraping the barrel by this crisis

A few weeks ago, folks were busy claiming that this financial crisis and the ensuing recession would mark the end of American hegemony. But, as the Washington Post points out in its editorial today, it is America’s enemies who look like they are going to be hardest hit by it. Those petro-states that have been buoyed up by the high-oil price, are in a far weaker position now oil is $65 a barrel. As the Post puts it: “Unless oil prices quickly recover, Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez and Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad are likely to face even tougher domestic economic challenges in 2009 than the next U.S. president. According to independent estimates,

James Forsyth

Avoiding the next scandal

If the Deripaksa affair persuades the Tories that they need to vet everyone from whom a shadow cabinet member accepts hospitality and that the shadow cabinet should be kept as far away as possible from the soliciting of donations then some good will have come of it. The Observer reports today that the vetting process designed to stop David Cameron meeting people who could embarrass the party will now be extended to ‘other senior figures’ and that senior Tories are pressing for all donations to be left to Feldman. But there are still other potential pitfalls the Tories need to deal with. First, and most pressingly, there is the issue of

James Forsyth

Pinning the blame on Brown

Gordon Brown’s political strategy for the recession involves claiming that it came from America, that Britain is uniquely well placed to deal with it thanks to his policy decisions and that only he has the experience to see the country through this crisis. But as the Observer points out in its editorial today—entitled “It’s your recession, Mr Brown. Deal with it”—these claims are simply not accurate:  “The implication is that recession is a foreign ailment that the UK only contracted through its exposure to global financial markets. But for a decade, the government promoted the City of London as the international centre of financial services. A financial boom poured cheap credit into

Letters | 25 October 2008

Both their houses Sir: In your leading article of 11 October (‘A necessary evil’) you state that ‘Many of those senators who opposed the bail-out initially but changed their minds when it was voted on a second time last week have turned out to be less than principled in their concerns for the taxpayers.’ The US Senate only voted once on the matter and in the affirmative, while the House of Representatives voted twice before accepting. Peter Schéle Gothenburg, Sweden Sneers before bedtime Sir: I was dismayed that The Spectator gave a platform to sneer-master general A.A. Gill (India Travel, 18 October) in the guise of a travel piece about

Low life | 25 October 2008

The average age of the residents in our village here on the south Devon coast must be up in the seventies. Every time I answer the door the person standing there is panting and leaning on a stick. There was a murder in the village a couple of years ago. This man battered and stabbed his blind wife to death as she lay in bed, then killed the cat. He was 88 years old. His wife was 87. I don’t know how old the cat was. He was the oldest man to be charged with murder in English legal history. He pleaded not guilty on the grounds of diminished responsibility

High life | 25 October 2008

New York ‘Oligarchs brace for a downturn,’ screams a New York business headline, a fact that sends me rushing to buy hankies, now selling at a premium at every corner store. Bloomberg News calculates that the richest 25 Russians on the Forbes list have lost a collective $230 billion since last March. Which means that these 25 have lost more than four times Warren Buffet’s total wealth. It’s very good news, unless you’re selling private jets, superyachts, are a hooker or a pimp, sell gaudy jewellery or own a nightclub. Actually, it couldn’t happen to nicer guys, not that they’re exactly down and out. Apparently, the worst hit is Oleg

Diary of a Notting Hill Nobody | 25 October 2008

Monday I knew it! It’s always something to do with the Bullingdon. A note arrived this morning from Mr Rothschild, marked Attention Gideon: ‘That’ll teach you for rolling me down a hill in a Portaloo.’ Not sure I should give it to him, he’s already in a foul mood. There’s been a terrible to-do between him and Dave, according to Jenny, who was listening through the wall using one of Gary’s funny earpieces. Dave demanded to know whether there was anything else Gids should tell him about his Greek holiday. ‘Did you and Fran go snorkelling with Osama bin Laden by any chance?’ Jenny says he’s just jealous that Gids