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Department of Punditry

Oh dear. The days of the free lunch may be numbered: This blog aims to do one thing: track the forecasts of Britain pundits, bloggers and others on politics and elections, foreign affairs and economic trends. It is often said that there is no accountability for newspaper pundits – they can guess wrong time and again and see no consequences. With this blog and the way in which it highlights pundits’ forecasts, that may change. But our aim is not to catch out or embarrass pundits, or to record only mistaken predictions. We aim but to keep a record for posterity of all forecasts – those that are proved right,

Britain’s Best Newspaper

Sure, you could read about an EU investigation into Peter Mandelson’s (dodgy) relationship with Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska. You might even enjoy the Observer telling Macavity Broon that he cannae escape responsibility for this recession. All fine stuff and worthy and useful and so on. But what you really want to read is this story about Geoge Osbourne’s alleged fascination with dog collars and rubber underpants. No “public interest” whatsoever. Great fun, in other words. God bless the News of the World.

Sarah Brown emulates Sarah Palin

Campaigning is underway in the Glenrothes by-election. Yesterday Sarah Brown, the Prime Minister’s wife, made her election debut, knocking on doors in, of all places, bonny Cardenden. How did that go? Not so well, it seems. My friend Stephen McGinty has a fine, entertaining account in today’s Scotsman: SHE was supposed to be Labour’s secret weapon, but Sarah Brown ended up being so “secret” yesterday that no-one from the press was allowed to ask her any questions. It was clear from the moment she arrived in Cardenden to campaign on behalf of the Labour Party that she was not there to speak to the ordinary members of the public. The

Status: Enraged but Unsurprised

OK, this is from the Sunday Times so the usual weekend caveats apply. But a) this story does seem to be confirmed by official sources and b) it turns out it isn’t actually April 1st: Everyone who buys a mobile telephone will be forced to register their identity on a national database under government plans to extend massively the powers of state surveillance. Phone buyers would have to present a passport or other official form of identification at the point of purchase. Privacy campaigners fear it marks the latest government move to create a surveillance society. A compulsory national register for the owners of all 72m mobile phones in Britain

Department of Newspapers

Tee hee: The journalistic industry is perilously close to collapse after running out of days in the week to dub ‘black’ in the event of dire economic news. Financial journalism has virtually frozen up after last week’s so-called ‘Black Friday’, which exhausted the stock of slightly varied clichés. Reporters were close to panic last night at the prospect of having unimaginatively to sensationalise any further stock-market falls this week. The Government has been considering opening the markets at the weekend, in order to provide two new potential ‘black’ days for the media to gibber in horror about, but industry insiders are calling for much more radical moves. One broadsheet business

The Boy Dave Done Good

It’s just like old times, ain’t it? The Sun wading in behind the Tory leader. The paper’s leader today has a headline Tory HQ would have written themselves: He’s Ready. The Sun says: DAVID Cameron finally stood up yesterday and showed what he is made of. Gone was the show pony politician. In his place emerged a tough leader, a young but credible statesman with potent ideas for rebuilding our nation. Mr Cameron said the words his party wanted to hear. He echoed their hero, Margaret Thatcher, calling for “strong defence, sound money and the rule of law”. The Tory leader insisted there would be “no new dawns, no overnight

Quote for the Day | 1 October 2008

Comes from that wise bird, Tyler Cowen: 11. If someone is pushing conclusions and not identifying the potential weak points in his or her arguments, be suspicious.  Also beware of anyone pretending to offer you simple answers. He’s referring to the current finanical crisis, but of course this is broadly true of any public policy question.

Outrage of the Week

Kudos to Outskirts Bar and Grill in Canton, Illinois for making possible the best headline of this troubled week: Liquor license suspended after topless ‘midget wrestling’. [Via Best of the Web]

Is Jonathan Freedland working for John McCain?

I was going to write about Jonathan Freedland’s absurd column in today’s Guardian, but thankfully Norm has said pretty much all that needs to be said. Do these people really want to increase one’s sympathy for McCain? Because all this stuff about how the US owes it to the rest of the world to elect Obama is one good way of achieving just that.

British Newspapers: Best In the World, Guv

God bless the Daily Mail.  How can you resist a story headlined: Are We All Going to Die Next Wednesday? Of course you remember the rule: all headlines written as questions invite  – nay, have – the answer “No”. But, admit it, in this instance you might have a look and see what this imminent, cataclysmic threat is…

Babies Everywhere…

More baby news: Rachida Dati, the 42 year old French Justice Minister, is, like Bristol Palin, pregnant. As Art Goldhammer says, however, they do things differently in France. Dati says she has no intention of revealing the father’s identity and offers this marvellous comment: “I have a very complicated private life, and that’s where I draw the line with the press. I won’t have anything to say on that subject.” Meanwhile, the Times’ Charles Bremner has a pop at French hypocrisy vis a vis privacy and the coverage of the Sarkozy administration: The complete silence on the identify of Dati’s partner looks more like old-fashioned deference to the governing class.

Cricket Writing

the London papers, Mike Atherton at the Times, Selvey at the Guardian, Angus Fraser at the Independent and Derek Pringle at the Telegraph. Atherton is new to the post but shows signs of becoming, as one might expect frankly, an excellent addition to the press box. There is nothing wrong, per se, with former test cricketers moving into the press box. After all, it has long been the case that former players have found fresh and comfortable berths in the press corps. Scyld Berry, the Sunday Telegraph’s man who edited Wisden this year was not a great cricketer himself, but I was disappointed that he thought it

Quote for the Day | 12 August 2008

Yes, I mentioned this post earlier. But… But the very most obvious thing about today’s XXXX is how internally varied and contradictory it is, how many opposite things various of its people want, how likely-to-be-false any generalization is… XXXX here is China but it could just as usefully be the United States of America. That’s something foreign correspondents and, just as importantly, foreign editors need to bear in mind at all times. And not necessarily only with regard to America and China either…

The Temptations of the Leader Page

In an editorial written, judging from its cadences, by Leon Wieseltier, welcoming the arrest of Radovan Karadzic, The New Republic argues that: Whatever one thinks of the war in Iraq, it is impossible to deny that it has had the effect of delegitimating “humanitarian intervention” for a new generation. This new diffidence must be resisted. It is what the mass murderers and the mass rapists are counting on. You cannot be against the genocide in Darfur and against the use of force to end it. Otherwise your opposition to the atrocity is purely gestural, and merely a display of your admiring sense of yourself. It makes no sense to be

Alex Massie

National Enquirer (More or Less) Vindicated

John Edwards admits affair with campaign staffer  –  but denies fathering her child – in an interview with ABC News. I remember when this was rumoured last year everyone of my Democratic friends admitted that they believed the story. It just seemed plausible. Doubtless, much of the mud about to be thrown at Edwards will point to the fact that his wife, Elizabeth, was fighting cancer since early 2007 when the disease, which had been in remission, returned. I imagine this is why – perhaps honestly! –  he continues to deny paternity since the child was born this year… Trouble is: his denials don’t cut much mustard. Nor does claiming

Lessons in Punditry

Ross Douthat makes an excellent suggestion: I think it would be an excellent discipline for pundits deeply invested in the ideal of the “independent” politician to attempt, at least once a year, a column praising a public figure for taking an independent, maverick position with which they disagree. Obviously this applies to the blogosphere as well as to the talking heads on TV and newspaper columnists. I don’t think I’d actually agree with all that many of Senator Jim Webb’s positions, for instance, but I admire his willingness to state his mind, free from the cant and humbug in which politicians customarily swaddle their pronouncements.

Fatso for President

Matt Yglesias alerts one to the latest nonsense in the Presidential campaign. This time the guilty party is the Wall Street Journal: “But in a nation in which 66% of the voting-age population is overweight and 32% is obese, could Sen. Obama’s skinniness be a liability? Despite his visits to waffle houses, ice-cream parlors and greasy-spoon diners around the country, his slim physique just might have some Americans wondering whether he is truly like them.” It’s bad enough that any poor hack should have to churn out this guff but it verges on criminal that an editor would publish it. I was going to say that this must prove that

Lessons in Journalism

This is how you do not interview Hollywood actresses. Newsweek meets Gillian Anderson: I’ve got to confess. I don’t know anything about “The X-Files.” OK. Why is it such a big deal? Ohmygod. You’re not going to do this to me, are you? Tell me you’re not going to do this. Oh come on! It’s been such a long time. Hire somebody that knows enough that we don’t have to explain this again. [Hat-tip: Andrew]

Headline of the Day | 18 July 2008

From the Daily Telegraph: Could Helen Mirren’s bikini start a revolution? The usual rule is, as you know, that the answer to any question posed in a healine is almost always “No”. But who knows, perhaps this is the exception that proves the rule…