Uk politics

Monday

John Redwood

Can long-term forecasters answer these questions?

I find it difficult to believe some in the media are taking these latest economic forecasts for 15 years outside the EU seriously. They have all the hallmarks of the approach that the Treasury used to get the short-term forecast for the aftermath of a Brexit vote so hopelessly wrong. The first thing to stress is the forecasts which state the UK as a whole will lose 2 percent of GDP if we stay in the single market, 5 percent if we leave with a trade deal, and 8 percent if we leave without a trade deal are not saying we will be between 2 to 8 percent worse off in 15

Katy Balls Katy Balls

Why May might not be so bad for May

As Brexit tensions continue to simmer in the Conservative party, the May local elections look to be the next big danger point for Theresa May. MPs who are losing patience with the Prime Minister fear that any move now would be near impossible to justify to the public when the Tories remain neck-and-neck with Labour in the polls. The thinking goes that disappointing results in the local elections could provide the perfect cover to oust May from her position. It’s true that disappointing results look likely. In London, the Tories expect a bloodbath, with elections analyst Lord Hayward predicting that the party could lose more than half of their London

Steerpike Steerpike

Andrea Leadsom receives anti-Brexit death threat

Boris Johnson will have his work cut out on Wednesday when he attempts to give a speech uniting Remainers and Brexiteers. Last week, Brexiteers started received death threats from the mysterious ‘real 48 per cent’. Zac Goldsmith was the first to go public when an 80-year-old constituent received one in the mail. Now Andrea Leadsom is the latest to receive the poison pen letter: Pretty despicable whoever sent me this. We live in a democracy- death threats because you don’t agree? And unsigned? coward… pic.twitter.com/ERnRvvVxWo — Andrea Leadsom MP (@andrealeadsom) February 12, 2018 As Mr S pointed out last week, there was always something rather sinister about the Remainer claim that

Nick Cohen Nick Cohen

Europeans are Britain’s new minority | 12 February 2018

If you ran the marketing department of a progressive organisation, which wanted to advertise its inclusiveness, how would you do it? My guess is that you would run down the checklist of identity politics and first make sure your advertising had a perfect gender balance. Showing men and women equally would not be enough, however. There would need to be racial balance: black and brown faces among the white. You would want to tick confessional boxes and feature a Muslim and a Sikh. Perhaps you would want to show a transgender man or woman, just to be on the safe side. At the end of it all, you would sit

Melanie McDonagh Melanie McDonagh

The Oxfam scandal is the start of the charities’ MeToo moment

It would be interesting, wouldn’t it, to sit in on the meeting today between Oxfam executives and Penny Mordaunt, International Development Secretary, who has got off to a cracking start in her job by giving short shrift to the weaselly equivocations by Oxfam after the sex scandals involving its country director and other staff in Haiti and now Chad. But the intelligent money must be on a MeToo rush of individuals recalling what they’ve seen in other charities, in other countries, on exactly the same lines. My husband worked for a British charity in receipt of lots of US government money during and after the conflict in Kosovo. His surprise

Steerpike Steerpike

Burns burns Soubry

Oh dear. This week Boris Johnson will give a speech intended to unite the country over Brexit – and, most importantly, reassure Remain voters that Brexit Britain is a country that can and will reflect liberal values. Offering a trailer for the speech on Westminster Hour was the Foreign Secretary’s PPS Conor Burns. Speaking to Carolyn Quinn, the Conservative MP hailed BoJo the man to restore ‘hope and optimism’ in the country. Only he stopped short of saying Johnson’s optimism would be enough to win over chief Conservative Remainer Anna Soubry. CQ: Mr Johnson’s big Brexit speech is billed as an appeal for unity on Valentines’ Day. Restoring love between

Tom Goodenough Tom Goodenough

What the papers say: It’s time to bin the foreign aid target

The Oxfam sex abuse scandal rumbles on, with the Times reporting that the charity knew about the questionable conduct of two men before they were posted to work in Haiti. The paper says it is time for a serious shake-up in the way in which international aid is meted out to avoid a repeat of this story. It is clear that there ‘is now a serious disconnect between the priorities set by the foreign secretary and the policies which flow from the wealthier international development department’s ability to effect change’, says the paper. This is because of DFID’s ‘much bigger budget’ – a result of the government’s ring-fenced commitment to

Sunday

Steerpike

Andrew Marr’s on air gaffe

Oh dear. Andrew Marr has found himself in the firing line this morning after the presenter congratulated a Tory minister on her interview… live on air. Penny Mordaunt appeared on the programme to answer questions on the unfolding Oxfam scandal and her plans as the recently appointed DfID Secretary. After putting in a confident showing, Marr – thinking the cameras had stopped rolling – went to congratulate her and offer a thumbs up. Only the exchange was broadcast live on air: Did Andrew Marr just turn to @PennyMordaunt at the end of this interview on @MarrShow and whisper “that was very good”!!!!!! pic.twitter.com/gXjQnAFxbL — Peter Stefanovic (@PeterStefanovi2) February 11, 2018

Saturday

James Forsyth

Where the Brexit inner Cabinet is heading

There have been two meetings of the Brexit inner Cabinet this week. But as I say in The Sun this week, the government is still making its way towards a detailed, negotiating position. Indeed, in one of the meetings this week, Theresa May emphasised that the ministers didn’t need to come to a decision that day. That may have led to a more constructive conversation. But as Jeremy Heywood delicately pointed out, taking these decisions won’t get easier with time. With the crunch EU council meeting next month, the UK doesn’t have much more time either. The longer the UK waits, the harder it will be to build diplomatic support

Friday

Katy Balls

Michel Barnier’s spiky press conference – ‘the transition is not a given’

David Davis’s decision to describe a leaked EU paper suggesting Brussels could impose sanctions on Britain in a transition period as ‘discourteous’ had repercussions in Brussels today. In a solo press conference on Britain’s transition period, Michel Barnier cut a prickly figure as he warned that a transition period immediately after Brexit in 2019 is ‘not a given’. Issuing Britain with a gentle ticking off, Barnier insisted that he was not being ‘vindictive’ as he raised concerns over May’s position. He said he has planned an update on the future relationship but this could not take place due to timetable constraints ‘on the UK side’. The EU’s chief negotiator did at

Steerpike Steerpike

Lead Remainer suggests Cambridge vice-chancellor ‘should go back to Canada’

Since leaving government, Lord Adonis has busied himself as a chief cheerleader for the campaign to stop Brexit. The Remain champion is on a mission to overturn the EU referendum result – criticising Brexit figures such as Nigel Farage for  kickstarting a ‘deeply xenophobic and misogynistic’ movement. However, this doesn’t mean Adonis thinks everyone should be welcomed to the UK with open arms. Speaking at Cambridge University, the Labour grandee hit out at Cambridge vice-chancellor Stephen Toope over his £365,000 salary. In an interview with Varsity, the former transport secretary suggests Toope came to the UK ‘because somehow he was going to be paid more than for a Canadian university’. He goes

Steerpike Steerpike

Grauniad’s Dominic Raab attack falls short

The Grauniad is on a mission this week to expose the shortcomings of the government’s crackdown on unpaid internships. The paper reported that Dominic Raab, the Conservative minister, had advertised an unpaid internship to support his constituency work just hours before the government published its plan to tackle unfair working practices. Only, Mr S can’t help but wonder whether the paper ought to take heed of the old adage ‘people who live in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones’. After all, the Grauniad is the proud owner of the ‘positive action scheme’ which offers two week placements to BAME candidates… for no money. ‘The scheme is unpaid, though reasonable daily travel expenses

Thursday

Theo Barclay

The ten greatest political resignations

The first rule of politics is never resign. Yet hapless MPs have been forced to quit in scandals involving sex, theft, drugs, double-crossing call girls and even attempted murder. Others have staged kamikaze resignations to damage their own leaders. Then there are the canny operators who took principled stands, ending up on the right side of history. As speculation rises that the resignation of a cabinet ‘big beast’ could yet again be the catalyst that sparks a coup against the current Prime Minister, here is your guide to the best and worst of Britain’s political departures: 1) John Profumo The scandal that had it all. John Profumo, a Tory minister,

Isabel Hardman Isabel Hardman

The Westminster harassment report could stop a repeat of the ugly side of #MeToo

There is clearly a will in Westminster to change the culture of sexual harassment that was so horribly exposed in the autumn. Previously, there was little will and no clear way for victims to get help, despite widespread anecdotal evidence that there were quite a lot of victims out there. Today a cross-party working group of MPs, peers, staff, and trade unions published their report on how to ensure that victims don’t feel ignored any more, and that there is a proper, independent process for dealing with complaints. But will the report really be a success? And how will we really know what a success looks like, when sexual harassment

Isabel Hardman Isabel Hardman

Whose fault is the local government funding crisis?

Local government appears to be on its knees, and it’s not the usual suspects of authorities run by opposition parties who are complaining loudest. Today, Surrey County Council is revealed to have a £105 million funding gap, and this after Northamptonshire issued a Section 114 notice, which bans almost all new spending. Organisations such as the Taxpayers’ Alliance argue that Surrey still managed to find additional money for its chief executive, suggesting that this is still a story about inept management of local government finances. Perhaps, but it’s also worth looking back at how the funding crisis began. In the 2010 Comprehensive Spending Review, one of the first departments to

Steerpike Steerpike

Freemason fightback

Here we go. This week the Freemasons have come under increased scrutiny after the Grauniad ran a front page reported that two Freemasons’ lodges are operating at Westminster – which it said were for MPs and political journalists. This had led to a series of hit-pieces and criticism of the secretive society. Now the Freemasons are fighting back. The United Grand Lodge of England (UGLE) has placed full-page advertisements in several national newspapers – including the Times, as below – calling for an end to the ‘discrimination’ against their members. They insist that the organisation welcomes individuals from all walks of life but that members are ‘undeservedly stigmatised’. One for Philip Davies to

Steerpike Steerpike

Listen: John Humphrys taken to task over Carrie Gracie row

John Humphrys is usually the one who asks the questions on the Today programme. Not today. The veteran presenter was taken to task this morning for appearing to make light of the Carrie Gracie row, after leaked remarks revealed him joking with the BBC’s Jon Sopel. At the end of his interview with the Lib Dem’s Jo Swinson, she turned the tables on Humphrys, asking him: JS: ‘…and just while I have got you here John, have you apologised to Carrie Gracie for the remarks you made about her courageous stance on equal pay?’ JH: ‘I wrote an email to Carrie Gracie immediately after that exchange, yes I did…quite what

Steerpike Steerpike

Inside the Conservatives’ Black and White ball

To the Natural History Museum, for the Conservative Black and White ball. Theresa May’s Cabinet were given a chance to unwind with a glass or three of ‘Brexit juice’ (English sparkling wine) after a crunch meeting on the Irish border that afternoon. Guests munched on beef and kale (a pitch to metropolitan liberals?). Theresa May’s speech at the annual fundraiser was well received – even if it was Rees-Mogg who was paid the most attention once in the room. Up for auction was the irresistible prospect of dinner with Defence Secretary Gavin Williamson in the Churchill war rooms. This prize was bagged by a Russian – perhaps they’ll take notes

James Kirkup James Kirkup

Can we have an honest debate about gender?

This article is about gender and the law. When I asked several friends, politicians and journalists, about writing it, they all said the same: don’t. It will go badly for you. And that is why I’m writing this. In fact, that’s what I’m writing about: fear. The fear that persuades some people they can’t say what they think about something, or even ask questions about it. Fear that prevents proper discussion of public policy and the public interest. Fear that chills debate. I’ve been a journalist for 20 years. I belong to no party and I have no allegiances or affiliations. I don’t have an agenda or an axe to

Wednesday

Lloyd Evans

Theresa May makes it an unhappy birthday for Dennis Skinner

The S-bomb landed on PMQs this afternoon. Suffragettes. Exactly a century and a day has passed since parliament granted women the vote. Mrs May was honouring the occasion when she heard – or pretended to hear – Labour sisters shouting ‘some women.’ ‘Some?’ she said. ‘Yes universal suffrage did come in, ten years later, under a Conservative government.’ A good hit. Quite probably she faked the ‘some women’ heckle. We got a lecture from moany, droney Jeremy Corbyn who wore a pained expression like a vegan bishop. ‘We should understand that our rights come from the activities of ordinary people doing extraordinary things to bring about democracy and justice.’ It