Are the Tories dead certs in Crewe and Nantwich?

Adam Boulton & Co. bring us news that Ladbrokes have closed their books on the Crewe and Nantwich by-election, because the Tories are “dead cert winners”.  Of course, this chimes with all the polls we’ve been reading recently, as well as with the Tory euphoria around Westminster.  But are things really that certain?  Tories on the ground in Crewe don’t think so – one campaign leader there told us there could be “only a few hundred votes in it either way”.  Watch this space.