This time last week there were anxious conversations in Tory world about how the parliamentary party would react if Labour moved level or ahead in the polls after the PBR. But the PBR has not had the political effect Labour hoped it would. The main story coming out of it has been how bad the public finances are, not the dividing lines that Brown was so desperate to draw.
This morning, Mori—like ICM on Saturday—shows the Tories increasing their poll lead after the PBR. Mori has them 11 points ahead on 43 percent, an eight point increase in their lead.
When you consider that the Tories will probably get a poll boost from the heavy-handed arrest of Damian Green, it does seem that the Tories will go into the New Year comfortably ahead. Certainly, talk of a 2009 election has disappeared almost entirely over the past week.
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