The clear favourite with party members and the bookies’ favourite to take the Tory crown, former foreign secretary Boris Johnson is seen by many in his party as the candidate most able to take on Nigel Farage’s insurgent Brexit party. YouGov found Johnson would be the first choice of 39 per cent of Tory members in a leadership race, far ahead of any other candidate.
Declared backers: Gavin Williamson, Johnny Mercer, Peter Bone, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Nadine Dorries, Simon Clark, Nigel Adams, John Whittingdale, Conor Burns, Andrew Rosindell, David Jones, Zac Goldsmith, Sheryll Murray, Jake Berry, Grant Shapps, Anne-Marie Trevelyan, Stuart Andrew, David Tredinnick, Desmond Swayne, Alok Sharma, Liz Truss, Kwasi Kwarteng, Paul Beresford, Simon Hart, David Warburton, Anne Main, Michael Ellis, Graham Stuart, Jack Lopresti, Daniel Kawczysnki, James Heappey, Andrew Bridgen, James Duddridge, Greg Knight, Rishi Sunak, Robert Jenrick, Oliver Dowden, Mark Pritchard, Damian Collins, Andrew Stephenson, Laurence Robertson, Chloe Smith, Alun Cairns, James Brokenshire, Chris Grayling. Steve Baker, Priti Patel, Craig Tracey, Owen Paterson, James Cleverly, Colin Clark, Michael Fallon, Mark Francois, Matthew Offord, Ranil Jayawardena, Ben Wallace, Iain Duncan Smith, Ross Thomson, Kit Malthouse, Robert Buckland, Justin Tomlinson, Craig Mackinlay, Henry Smith, Theresa Villiers, Mike Penning, Caroline Johnson, Stephen Barclay, Bernard Jenkin, Leo Docherty, Lucy Frazer, Richard Drax, Marcus Fysh, Damien Moore, Andrew Murrison, Geoffrey Cox, Andrew Percy, Stephen McPartland, Charlie Elphicke, Bill Cash, Therese Coffey, Andrew Mitchell, Jo Johnson, John Redwood, Esther McVey, Ben Bradley, Matt Hancock, Andrew Griffiths, Bob Stewart, Andrew Lewer, David Evenett, Lee Rowley, Julian Sturdy, Julian Lewis, Chris Heaton-Harris, Andrea Leadsom, Douglas Ross, Tracey Crouch, Damian Green, Mark Lancaster, Bob Seely, Scott Mann, Andrew Bowie, Philip Davies, Ian Liddell-Grainger, Martin Vickers, Heather Wheeler, Andrea Jenkyns, Anne Marie Morris, Rehman Chishti, Dominic Raab, Helen Grant, Nadhim Zahawi, Chris Green, Tom Pursglove, Suella Braverman, Robert Syms, David Davis, Hugo Swire, Shailesh Vara, Eddie Hughes, Bill Wiggin, Bim Afolami, David Davies, Kelly Tolhurst, Chris Skidmore, Julian Knight, Kevin Foster, Mike Wood, Chris PhilpJeremy Hunt, 55 MPs publicly backing, 77 votes in the last round
The Foreign Secretary has a reasonable chance of making it to the final two against Boris Johnson, but only has an implied five per cent chance of succeeding May according to the bookies. In recent polling, only eight per cent of Conservative members said he was their first choice of candidate, while only 29 per cent thought he was capable of winning a general election.
Declared backers: Richard Graham, Philip Dunne, Patrick McLoughlin, Alan Mak, James Cartlidge, Nick Herbert, Nusrat Ghani, David Morris, Steve Brine, John Penrose, Mark Garnier, Roger Gale, Mark Prisk, Oliver Heald, John Lamont, Will Quince, Vicky Ford, Harriett Baldwin, Alan Duncan, Mark Field, Liam Fox, Greg Hands, Huw Merriman, Andrew Jones, Amber Rudd, Peter Bottomley, Penny Mordaunt, Mark Pawsey, John Howell, Robert Goodwill, Alistair Burt, Greg Clark, Keith Simpson, Royston Smith, Greg Hands, Margot James Eliminated: Michael Gove eliminated in the fifth round, receiving 75 votes in the last roundPerhaps may be tainted by his betrayal of Boris Johnson in 2017, but he is seen as the most intellectually capable minister in the cabinet. Polls suggest he’s favourite of nine per cent of Tory members and second choice candidate of 14 per cent. Perhaps as a result of his conduct during the 2016 leadership race to replace Cameron, only 35 per cent of the membership consider him to be ‘likeable’, but they do think he is the second most ‘competent’ candidate after Boris Johnson.
Declared backers: Mel Stride (his campaign manager, now attending Cabinet), Ed Vaizey (his old flatmate), Alberta Costa, Tom Tugendhat, Sir Edward Leigh, Bob Neill, George Eustice, Kevin Hollinrake, Trudy Harrison, Nick Gibb, Richard Bacon, John Stevenson, Rachel Maclean, Stephen Kerr, John Hayes, Jack Brereton, Guy Opperman, Michael Fabricant, Mark Menzies, Nicky Morgan, Luke Graham, David Duguidm, Neil Parish, Bill Grant, Kemi Badenoch, Oliver Letwin, Anne Milton, Claire Perry, Damian Hinds, Peter Aldous, Kirstene Hair, David Mundell, Stephen Metcalfe, Ruth DavidsonSajid Javid, eliminated in the fourth ballot, receiving 34 votes in the last round
The Home Secretary announced earlier this month an overhaul of espionage and treason laws. If elected, Javid would be first PM from a Muslim family (he is non-practising). He boasts a supportive Twitter account called ‘Avid4Javid’ with 400 followers. Backed by nine per cent of local Conservatives but considered the third most ‘competent’ candidate.
Declared backers: Robert Halfon, Chris Philp, John Glen, Chris Skidmore, Mike Wood, Simon Hoare, Lucy Allan, Kevin Foster, Andrew Selous, Ed Argar, Mims Davies, Robin Walker, Mary Robinson, Stephen Crabb, Chris Skidmore, Caroline Nokes, Victoria Atkins, Jeremy Wright, Fiona Bruce, Gary Streeter, Derek ThomasRory Stewart, eliminated in the third round, receiving 27 votes
Tutor to Prince William and Harry, best-selling travel writer and son of a spy chief, Rory Stewart has perhaps the most interesting life story of the contenders. He declared his ambitions in an interview with The Spectator’s Katy Balls last month. He sees himself as a modernising force within the Tory party, insisting on the need to tackle the ‘climate emergency’ and win back younger voters.
According to polling by the Times/YouGov, out of all the frontrunners, Stewart was the last choice of a whopping 29 per cent of Tory members. Only four per cent of members selected him as their first choice to be leader. Declared supporters: Victoria Prentis, Nicholas Soames, Ken Clarke, David Gauke, Antoinette Sandbach, Gillian Keegan, Dominic Grieve, Tobias Ellwood, Margot James, Richard Benyon, Paul Masterton, Caroline Spelman, David LidingtonPlease send any additions to the list to jconnolly@spectator.co.uk
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