James Forsyth

Given the stakes, it’s no surprise this election has gone down to the wire

Given the stakes, it's no surprise this election has gone down to the wire
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Polling stations open in 15 hours time and this is an election where no one is certain what the result will be. The YouGov MRP shows a tightening race with the Tories currently on course for a majority in the twenties but with Labour closing strongly. On the YouGov MRP, if the Tory lead fell by one per cent Boris Johnson’s majority would go into the teens. If it dropped by two points, there would still be a Tory majority but it would be in single digits.

The reports from the ground are mixed. In some places, Tories are surprisingly bullish, believing that the Corbyn factor will help them get over the line. In others, they fret that Labour has effectively changed the conversation away from Brexit. It is, perhaps, a sign of the topsy-turvy times we live in that the group of Tories whose mood has most improved as the campaign has gone on are based in Scotland.

Tomorrow night, all will begin to come clear. Though, I doubt that you’ll be able to go to bed until the wee hours of the morning if you want to be certain who has won.

Given the stakes of this election – it will decide whether Brexit actually happens, whether the UK elects the most anti-Western PM in its history and whether Boris Johnson gets the chance to establish his new Toryism – it is, perhaps, unsurprising that it has gone down to the wire. But tomorrow will tell us if Boris Johnson has successfully realigned British politics or if this country is still stuck, with no party able to win outright.

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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