Unfortunately for our Prime Minister, the latter scenario looks more and more likely. In today's Times, a group of experts marks Labour down for a local election battering. One even predicts that Labour's share of the vote could drop to around 25 percent – that significantly undercuts the 28 percent share that party insiders allegedly expect, and would be the their worst performance for 30 years.
Of course, predictions don't necessarily come true. But this latest warning should at least cause more bitten fingernails on Downing Street.