Hillary Clinton’s comeback win took everyone, including her own campaign, by surprise. The theories are flowing as to how she pulled it out. Some are claiming it is because people tell pollsters that they’re planning to vote for the black candidate then in the privacy of the ballot box don’t. This is certainly the simplest explanation for what happened but I’m wary of it as it lets people like me who predicted that he’d win big off the hook far too easily.
The other theories doing the rounds are that New Hampshire voters didn’t want to end the contest this early. Or, that they reacted against the media narrative. One definite factor is that the Clinton campaign had the best field operative in American politics working for them.
Looking at the details of where Hillary drew her support from shows that she won what is called the beer track; voters without a college degree, union families and households on less than $50,000 a year broke heavily in her favour.
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