Sam Ashworth-Hayes Sam Ashworth-Hayes

How Germany’s energy crisis could bite Britain

For now, Berlin can breathe a sigh of relief: after a ten-day shutdown for maintenance, the Nord Stream 1 pipeline is back online. Russia is once again heating German homes, fuelling German industry, and using German money to finance its war in Ukraine. But this happy exchange may not continue; the pipeline is still operating at just 40 per cent of its usual capacity, and Vladimir Putin is warning this could fall to 20 per cent next week.

With Germany’s gas reserves just 65 per cent full – thanks in part to state-owned Russian energy company Gazprom’s curious oversight in maintaining them last year – and plans to refill it strained by Putin’s control of the gas flow, there is genuine concern that Germans could find themselves facing a brutal energy crunch this Christmas.

Britain won’t be insulated from a crisis on the continent

President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen has warned that ‘full disruption of Russian gas’ is ‘a likely scenario’, so the EU is recommending a 15 per cent cut in gas consumption, which would become binding in the event of a significant reduction in flow.

Responses from the south of the continent to the proposal have been frosty, to say the least. After years of grinding their teeth while Teutonic politicians berated their fiscal profligacy, Spanish ministers are finding more than a little schadenfreude in Berlin’s misfortune. Teresa Ribera, minister for ecological transition, responded to demands for pan-European cuts in energy use by remarking that ‘unlike other countries, we Spaniards have not lived beyond our means from an energy point of view’.

Even if the EU’s mechanism does come through, it won’t be enough to prevent significant economic pain. A winter of low fuel will force the government into rationing, and industry is likely to lose out to residential consumption.

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