The exit polls all suggest that Kadima will, by a small margin, win the most seats in the Knesset. However, with Likud coming a close second and Labor appearing to have been forced into fourth by the unsavoury Yisrael Beitenu party of Avigdor Lieberman, Netanyahu appears to have a better chance of forming a government. But remember these are exit polls and so much could change. Also, the course of coalition negotiations are notoriously hard to predict.
Channel 1:
Kadima 30
Likud 28
Yisrael Beitenu 14
Labor 13
Channel 2:
Kadima 29
Likud 27
Yisrael Beitenu 15
Labor 13
Channel 10:
Kadima 30
Likud 28
Yisrael Beitenu 15
Labor 13