Fraser Nelson Fraser Nelson

Mixed poll results for the Tories

Two polls out tomorrow: one (ComRes/Sindy) showing 17 point Tory lead and other (YouGov/Sunday Times) showing a 9 point lead. This is the difference between a comfortable majority and a hung parliament. ComRes shows that the Eton class war attack backfires (I hope Balls/Ian Austin etc are reading) with 70% disagreeing that it makes any difference to his claim to be Prime Minister. Overall, the Pre-Budget Report gave the Tories a four-point jump in with ComRes to 41% (Labour’s off 3 points to 24%). YouGov has 40-31 – the kind of difference that might encourage Brown to have an early election if it keeps up. YouGov is, of course, the more reliable of the two pollsters. And here’s a graph from Citi to show that the Tories are still not out of hung parliament territory yet.

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