I should have listened to George Duffield. Sandown Park’s Eclipse Stakes, the first time the Classic generation of three-year-olds take on their elders, is one of my favourite races and the then 53-year-old rider’s triumph on Giant’s Causeway in 2000, beating Kalanisi by a head after Pat Eddery had driven him into the lead 200 yards from the finish, was the duel I will never forget. Duffield was Sir Mark Prescott’s stable jockey and soon after that race the Newmarket maestro took a call from Aidan O’Brien, Giant’s Causeway’s trainer. ‘Whatever you do Sir Mark,’ said the quiet Irish voice, ‘make sure you breed from him before you let him go!’
I can only marvel at the way trainers tell a horse’s wellbeing by the bloom on his coat, the twitch of his ears
This year’s Eclipse was a fascinating prospect. Vying for favourites were O’Brien’s three-year-old Paddington, winner of the Irish 2000 Guineas and victor at Royal Ascot in the St James’s Palace Stakes, and Emily Upjohn, the four-year-old filly who won the Fillies and Mares Champion Stakes last year and took this year’s Coronation Cup at Epsom.
William Haggas’s five-year-old Dubai Honour, twice a Group One winner in Australia, was no remote prospect and the Crisfords’ West Wind Blows, a Group race winner in France, completed the field. What made the contest especially intriguing was that Paddington’s Group 1 victories were over a mile, while Emily Upjohn’s were gained over a mile and a half. For the ten- furlong Eclipse, she was dropping down in trip, while Paddington was moving up.
From the start my heart was with Emily Upjohn, who last summer, at a time when she was one of this column’s Twelve to Follow, had been desperately unlucky to finish second in the Oaks after losing many lengths with a stumble at the start.
Statistics offered some cheer: horses like Paddington stepping up in trip for the race had only once succeeded, while horses dropping back in trip like Emily Upjohn had a strike rate of 19 per cent (seven winners from 36 qualifiers).

Comments
Join the debate for just $5 for 3 months
Be part of the conversation with other Spectator readers by getting your first three months for $5.
UNLOCK ACCESS Just $5 for 3 monthsAlready a subscriber? Log in