James Forsyth

Scottish referendum: ‘no’ lead falls to 6 points, from 22 points last month

Scottish referendum: 'no' lead falls to 6 points, from 22 points last month
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Tonight brings a reminder that the Union is in real danger. A new YouGov poll has the No camp’s lead in the Scottish referendum down to just six points. Just a month ago, No had a 22 point lead with You Gov.

This poll is particularly striking as YouGov’s polling has not been as favourable to Yes as that of other pollsters; this is Yes’s highest ever score with YouGov. Particularly worrying is that undecided voters are going Yes by a margin of two to one. If this poll is right about how much the gap has narrowed and the undecideds continue to break in the same way, then this referendum could come down to who has the better ground operation.

It is, obviously, only those who live in Scotland who have a vote in this referendum. But let’s not forget that Scottish independence would change the United Kingdom for ever. The rump that was left behind would be a much diminished force in the world.