Dominic Cummings

The politics of prediction

How Philip Tetlock has transformed the science of prediction

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  • Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

    Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner

    Random House Books, pp. 340

Forecasts have been fundamental to mankind’s journey from a small tribe on the African savannah to a species that can sling objects across the solar system with extreme precision. In physics we have developed models that are extremely accurate across vastly different scales from the sub-atomic to the visible universe.

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