So much for Lisbon, the treaty to end all treaties. Quite why no one, especially the treaty's opponents, acknowledged the possibility of a member state's financial collapse whilst Lisbon was being ratified during the recession is a mystery. However, all that is past. The question for the future is will there be a referendum this time round?
Adrian Michaels, rightly, point out that the Tories’ eurowars are likely to be renewed at the most inopportune time for Cameron. But Cameron will offer a referendum; his European policy dictates that he must.
A further treaty is a problem for Brown. The Prime Minister was instrumental in denying the British people their promised vote on Lisbon. His ‘pro-giving the people a vote’ credibility is diaphanous but Brown's now a believer. His death-bed conversion to electoral reform and referenda is transparent, but if Brown were non-committal on an EU referendum then his ruse becomes incredible. So too Nick Clegg's 'power to the people' credentials, if he denies his party a free vote a second time. This could play into the Tories’ hands.