The BBC is now predicting that Labour’s vote share will be only 24 percent, a disaster for Gordon Brown. William Hague is bullish, claiming that tonight is a big step forward for the Conservatives. Ed Miliband, now on for Tessa Jowell, and has conceded that the government has had a bad few months. Doing a Fraser and thinking forward to Labour without Brown, you have to wonder whether Ed Miliband might be a contender. He is certainly a better media performer than the vast majority of the cabinet.