James Forsyth James Forsyth

US primary contests now too close to call

If you want a feel for how dramatically both the Republican and Democratic primary races have tightened in the US, consider this:

“The only candidate in either party with a lead outside of the margin of error in the big 3 states (Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina) is Republican Mike Huckabee who sports a double-digit lead over his nearest competitor. No Democrat has a lead outside the margin of error in those three states and the Republican races in both New Hampshire and South Carolina are also margin-of-error close.”

The importance of these early states in the process can not be over-stated and the worry for Hillary has to be that Obama has removed her firewall in New Hampshire. He’s now close enough that momentum from a win in Iowa, could carry him over the top there as well. If Hillary goes 0 for 2 in the first two contests, then anything could happen.

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