Even with all the volatility in British politics right now, it is still remarkable that the Brexit party are favourites to win the European Elections just a week after launching. But will the Brexit party winning actually change anything, I ask in The Sun this morning.
I think there are a several ways it which it will have an impact. First, it’ll make MPs more cautious about a second referendum. One of the reasons why support for the idea has grown in parliament is a belief that Remain would triumph. A Brexit party victory would challenge that assumption.
Next, I suspect that Farage’s new party topping the poll would make the Tory Brexit holdouts less inclined to compromise. They’ll see it as a sign that the public backs no deal, though I suspect that the Brexit party’s success has more to do with the delays to the UK leaving than anything else.
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