Whether she runs or not, Palin won’t be President

Mitt Romney may be announcing his candidacy today, but the real buzz still surrounds Sarah Palin. Will she run for the Presidency or not? She’s certainly keeping us guessing. Alex has already written about the crazy media circus surrounding Palin’s “One Nation” bus tour, which she launched on Sunday. But looking at the polls, she is unlikely to win the nomination — let alone the election — however much hype she can muster.

First up, here’s the state of the race, according to the national polls conducted in the last fortnight:

As you can see, Palin is currently running a clear second, trailing Mitt Romney by around 3 to 4 points, but 4 points ahead of the rest of the field. However, at this early stage of the race, poll ratings are largely about name recognition.