Peter Hoskin

Who to believe?

Who to believe?
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Which polling company's getting it right in the run-up to the mayoral elections?  YouGov reckons Boris is miles ahead.  ICM have it as neck-and-neck.  And today Ipsos-MORI records a slender lead for Ken.  According to their poll, the incumbent snares 41 percent of first preference votes, compared to 40 percent for Boris.  When second preferences are allocated, Ken leads by 51 percent to 49 percent (although Political Betting suggests some creative rounding may lie behind that result).

As Conservative Home points out, this latest poll may actually be a boon for Boris.  The closer the race appears, the more Tory voters will hit the polling stations come 1st May.  Or at least that's the hope.