Did anyone seriously think that Donald Trump was going to emerge this morning as winner of the Nobel Peace Prize? First, there were the mechanics. Nominations for the prize closed on 31 January, at which point Trump was only 11 days into his second term and there was hardly a glint of hope in Gaza. The prize committee will have met for the last time around a week ago, when there was still doubt as to whether Hamas would accept this deal. Of necessity the committee will have had to make its decision a few days before the announcement because certain formalities will have had to be undertaken, such as checking whether the recipient actually wants the prize.
For those reasons, next year was always going to be a more appropriate time for Trump to win the prize. But even then, don’t hold your hopes. While the prize committee prides itself on its independent, it is not really free of outside pressure. Had the committee awarded the prize to Trump, its members would have no doubt faced cancellation. Dinner invitations would have dried up, high-powered jobs at universities and NGOs would have been denied to them. Norway has a pretty small establishment; there would have been nowhere to hide from angry liberal opinion. Even if the committee members had faced up to that, it is only natural that a committee – even one not made up by liberals – would be bit irritated by the brazen way in which Trump and his people have been lobbying for the prize, and be inclined to award it to someone else as a result.
That said, what Trump has achieved over the past couple of weeks is surely deserving of the prize. While other world leaders, such as Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron, dealt with the world as they would like it to exist, Trump dealt with the one which really does exist. It is hard to imagine anyone but him being able to moderate Benjamin Netanyahu – and simultaneously being able to apply pressure on Egypt and other Arab to influence what is the effective surrender of Hamas. It is laughable to think that it could have happened under Joe Biden, and not much more far-fetched to think that Barack Obama – who really is a Nobel peace laureate – could have achieved it.
The big mystery, though, is why Trump actually wants the Nobel Peace Prize. He has spent his time in office scorning international bodies. He has withdrawn from the Paris Climate Agreement and the World Health Organisation. He has treated the United Nations pretty sniffily. His whole philosophy in international affairs revolves around the idea that international bodies have grown too big for their boots: they are run by unelected busybodies who deserve to be cut down to size. He likes to see the world as being run by strong men, not worthy NGO types. So why does he even want the prize? He should want to scorn the idea of a bunch of aloof worthies appointed by the Norwegian government trying to sit in judgement on who is good and who is bad in the world.
A little note ought also to be added for Maria Corina Machado, the actual recipient of the prize. It was always likely, given the lobbying by the Trump, that the Nobel committee would go for someone few have heard of. But there is the possibility, of course, that Machado is a deserving choice. Had it not been for Trump and Gaza we would this morning be heralding the Venezuelan opposition leader who was robbed a victory in her country’s elections by Nicolas Maduro. Trump does need a Nobel Peace Prize and shouldn’t really want it. For Machado and the people of Venezuela, on the other hand, the prize might actually do some good, by rewarding someone who has stood up against dictatorship.
This article first appeared on The Spectator’s world edition.
Comments