To the green thorn in Sir Keir Starmer’s side: Net Zero Secretary Ed Miliband. The lefty veteran may have spent two decades in Westminster engraving stones and taking aim at airport terminals, but all that could be set to end in 2029 if Reform UK’s local election results are anything to go by. Analysis of the May elections suggest that Nigel Farage’s party could elect 81 MPs across the areas that voted in the recent council polls – ousting Miliband in the process. Dear oh dear…
The research by Electoral Calculus predicts Labour would only cling onto three seats in the areas that voted this month, while the Tories would hold just 25 – losing two of their shadow cabinet ministers in the process. Meanwhile Reform’s popularity is projected to soar, with the party holding onto two of its MPs in the areas and gaining an additional 79 from Labour, the Tories and even the Liberal Democrats. Golly!
Labour’s token eco-zealot would lose his seat of Doncaster North, the analysis suggests, with Farage’s lot taking almost half of the vote in the area while the incumbent would receive a little less than a third. Other casualties include shadow chancellor Mel Stride – who, the data predicts, could lose his seat to the Lib Dems – while Sir Gavin Williamson, Steve Barclay and Victoria Atkins would also be ousted by Reform UK. Talk about a turquoise tidal wave, eh?
The research comes just days after the Prime Minister's big speech on immigration reforms – which ruffled the feathers of his faithful followers after he warned the UK was at risk of becoming an 'island of strangers'. Labour MPs have hit out at their leader for trying to 'out-Reform Reform', but perhaps they shouldn't be too critical. After all, as immigration becomes an ever more pressing issue to Brits, support for Farage's party only continues to grow…
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