Perhaps, the biggest question of this campaign is whether the Tories will gain support in the next five and a bit weeks. If they don’t, Cameron will almost certainly lose and Ed Miliband will become Prime Minister.
In his column today, Danny Finkelstein looks at polling data produced by Andrew Cooper of Populus to see what the chances are of a late surge. Cooper looked at those who prefer Cameron to Miliband as Prime Minister and also think that the Tories would manage the economy better than Labour but are currently not saying they’ll vote Tory.
In Cooper’s poll of 10,000 voters, conducted in five waves, this group made up 18% of those likely to vote. But a sizable chuck of this group said that they would never vote Tory and others said they were planning to vote on local issues or thought that other issues were more important than the economy.
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