Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Steerpike

Labour frontbencher: Covid is an opportunity

With the country facing a possible second wave and the prospect of further restrictions to our daily lives, Labour’s Kate Green has an entirely different train of thought.   The shadow education secretary wondered how best to exploit the coronavirus for political gain. Speaking at a Labour Connected event, Green said: ‘I think we should use the opportunity, don’t let a good crisis go to waste’.  These comments somewhat overshadowed Keir Starmer’s keynote conference speech, with shadow foreign secretary Lisa Nandy forced to make an embarrassing apology during this morning’s accompanying media rounds.

Full text: Keir Starmer’s conference speech

I’m delighted that we’re here in Doncaster. My wife’s mum was born and grew up here – just next to the racecourse. We’re regulars here. Visiting family friends but also to go to the Ledger. Though of course sadly not this year. I’m also told that this is the first Labour leaders’ speech in Yorkshire since Harold Wilson in 1967. The circumstances were a bit different then. For one thing, Wilson was able to update conference about Labour’s achievements after three years in government. So I look forward to coming back one day in the same circumstances that brought Wilson here! I want to say a heartfelt thanks to the

John Lee

The dangers of a Covid ‘elimination’ policy

It’s understandable that, in a crisis, politicians reach for wartime metaphors – but they don’t always fit. There was the ‘war on terror’. Now we have politicians talking about the need to vanquish Covid-19. This is about more than language. There’s a big difference between a Covid-19 eradication strategy and one that seeks to find a way to live with this virus, in the way we learned to live with Swine Flu (or, as it’s now called, flu.) The Prime Minister is leading by example. Addressing a committee of conservative MPs on Thursday, he said: ‘We have to make sure that we defeat the disease by the means we have

Is Covid really rising in Spain? A look at the data

In a press briefing today Professors Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance showed epidemic curves for Spain and France — demonstrating how cases numbers have been growing rapidly, possibly exponentially, since August. As is often done when using case numbers by publishing date, the raw numbers are smoothed with a seven-day moving average. Drawn this way, the data shows a continued upward trend. But drawing the epidemic curve for Spain using cases by symptom onset produces a different result. We have put these two methods together on a single graph so that they can be compared: The epidemic curve based on the symptom onset date does not show the same continued

Katy Balls

What to expect from Boris’s Covid clampdown

As the UK’s coronavirus alert level is upgraded from three to four, all focus is now on what new restrictions Boris Johnson will announce on Tuesday when he makes a statement to the Commons. Before he gets there, the Prime Minister must first meet with his cabinet and chair Cobra.  Monday’s briefing from Chief Scientific Officer Patrick Vallance and Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty saw a hint of the difficult decisions that lie ahead. The pair painted a grim picture of the direction that infections are going in — claiming that it could lead to 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day by mid-October without further action. However, despite talk of a so-called ‘circuit break’

Robert Peston

How do we avoid another coronavirus lockdown?

Probably the most interesting new bit of information we received today on Covid-19 was from Sir Patrick Vallance, the chief scientific adviser, who implied that he and the government are now assuming that fewer than one in 200 people who are infected with the virus will die. That still means this form of coronavirus is a terrible scourge. It is not exactly conventional good news. But this Infection Fatality Rate of 0.4 per cent is less than half the circa one per cent he and the chief medical officer Chris Whitty employed as their rule of thumb or heuristic only a few months ago.  To be clear, what Vallance actually

James Forsyth

Theresa May rejects Boris’s Brexit bill

Theresa May was away last week so she didn’t have to take part in the vote on the Internal Market Bill, which contain the controversial Northern Ireland clauses that disapply parts of the Withdrawal Agreement. But in a speech just now, May has made explicit her opposition to the bill, declaring: ‘I can’t support this bill.’ She even went as far as to question how any minister could walk through the division lobby in support of it. May accused the government of acting ‘recklessly and irresponsibly’ and doing ‘untold damage’ to the UK’s international reputation with its willingness to ‘renege’ on the agreement that it has signed. She also added

Robert Peston

Labour’s four economic pillars

The first big speech by Labour shadow chancellor Anneliese Dodds was highly significant for what it did not do — in that it was all about competence rather than ideology. Her speech had four main elements:  a need for government to subsidise those hundreds of thousands of people forced into part-time working by the virus; a need to mount a massive national retraining programme for those whose industries are in irreversible decline; the imperative of avoiding debt delinquency and a default cliff edge for companies next March when their emergency Covid-19 loans from the Treasury become repayable; and an urgent need to avoid waste in contracts awarded by the government.  Many Tory MPs

Steerpike

Shaun Bailey’s renaming confusion

Is Tory mayoral hopeful Shaun Bailey a fan of renaming things or not? It’s hard to tell. When London mayor Sadiq Khan announced a commission to review statues, road names and plaques, Bailey was furious: But now it seems he has changed his tune, at least when it comes to the names of stations. Bailey has suggested that TfL’s dire finance situation could be easily fixed – by allowing companies to bid to rename tube stations.  Bailey told the Telegraph:  ‘We need to fix the service that Londoners love. That’s why I’ll invite businesses to sponsor station names and Tube lines. With TfL’s funding in crisis, we need ideas like this.

Cindy Yu

Why won’t Vallance and Whitty answer any questions?

11 min listen

In a Downing Street statement this morning, Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance presented their take on the latest coronavirus data. Speaking without a government representative, the pair said that Brits needed to ‘break unnecessary links between households’ and warned that the UK could see 50,000 new coronavirus infections a day by mid-October. But why didn’t Vallance and Whitty answer questions from journalists? Cindy Yu speaks to James Forsyth and Katy Balls.

Steerpike

Has Alan Cumming forgotten what he said about ‘stupid’ Brexit voters?

Actor Alan Cumming used an interview over the weekend to talk about the difficulty of being a Scot in London. Cumming, who is best known for appearing in TV show The Good Wife, said Scots like himself faced an ‘insidious and subliminal racism’ in the capital. He said: ‘I feel…assumptions are made about your intelligence, your background, your education, in London, because of how you sound as a Scottish person.’ Mr S would not condone anyone making assumptions about a person’s intelligence. But he also couldn’t help but remember what Cumming himself had to say about English people in the wake of the EU referendum. Condemning the vote to leave, Cumming – who now

Katy Balls

Vallance and Whitty lay the groundwork for new restrictions

A taste of what to expect over the next six months came in today’s press conference with Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty and Chief Scientific Adviser Patrick Vallance. Following reports of plans in government for new national restrictions and a potential lockdown, the pair used their public address to provide an update of the latest coronavirus statistics. It did not make for pretty viewing. Vallance said that if the rate of infection continues on its current trajectory without further restrictions the UK could see 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day by mid-October. This he argued ‘would be expected to lead to about 200 deaths per day’ a month after that.  Whitty didn’t have

Full text: Chris Whitty on the second wave

What we’ve seen is a progression where — after the remarkable efforts which got the rates right down across the country — we first saw very small outbreaks, then we’ve seen more localised outbreaks which have got larger over time, particularly in the cities. Now what we’re seeing is a rate of increase across the great majority of the country.  It’s going at different rates, but it is now increasing. And what we found is anywhere that was falling is now beginning to rise and then the rate of that rise continues in an upward direction.  This is not someone else’s problem, this is all of our a problem.  This graph

Boris must urgently rethink his Covid strategy

Dear Prime Minister, Chancellor, CMOs and Chief Scientific Adviser We are writing with the intention of providing constructive input into the choices with respect to the Covid-19 policy response. We also have several concerns regarding aspects of the existing policy choices that we wish to draw attention to. In summary, our view is that the existing policy path is inconsistent with the known risk-profile of Covid-19 and should be reconsidered. The unstated objective currently appears to be one of suppression of the virus, until such a time that a vaccine can be deployed. This objective is increasingly unfeasible (notwithstanding our more specific concerns regarding existing policies) and is leading to

Nick Tyrone

The Tories have missed Starmer’s Achilles heel

The main Tory attack on Starmer since he became leader of the Labour party is that he is ‘too much of a lawyer’; dull and metropolitan. The problem with this line is that it complements the narrative Starmer is trying to build himself, namely that he is competent while Boris is not. As such, it is worse than ineffective as a strategy — it is actually counterproductive. What is strangest about the continued use of the lawyer strategy is that there is an alternative attack on Starmer staring the Tories in the face, one they have not yet touched. When Sir Keir ran to be Jeremy Corbyn’s successor, he rolled

Robert Peston

Brace yourselves for more Covid lockdown restrictions

I’ve been bombarded with emails and messages from data scientists who firmly believe that the trend to Covid-19 infections, based on when a specimen was taken, is flattening or even falling. On the basis of that analysis, they are convinced the government is overreacting by threatening to impose new social distancing measures. And if you look at the government’s Covid-19 dashboard, you will be struck that the seven-day average for positive results is sharply on the rise, whereas there is a modest fall in the seven-day average of results by the date the specimen was taken. Now to be clear, those who are bossing this show – the Prime Minister,

Sunday shows round-up: Hancock refuses to rule out further lockdowns

Health Secretary Matt Hancock was one of the two big political guests of the day on the Andrew Marr show. The government is preparing to introduce a new system of fines and restrictions to combat a winter wave of the coronavirus pandemic. Andrew Marr asked about the government’s strategy if the rate of re-infection did not come down over future weeks and months: MH: We face a choice… If everybody follows the rules, then we can avoid further national lockdowns, but we of course have to be prepared to take further action if that’s what’s necessary. AM: So we might be facing a further national lockdown if people don’t obey

Boris’s ‘whack-a-mole’ Covid strategy is failing

Will the current cycle – lockdown; open up; eat out; restrictions; lockdown – go on forever? In their handling of coronavirus, Boris Johnson and his colleagues have become increasingly media-responsive, fear-bound, model-sensitive, sound-byte producing, u-turn prone and, quite frankly, embarrassing to all who believed the UK to be a beacon of rational thought. Has the Government lost the plot? We are not sure if it ever had one. This week at its annual meeting, the British Medical Association lamented the Government’s lack of grip on the public health during the current pandemic and proposed a ‘near-elimination’ strategy. Put simply, this involves what the BMA called ‘sacrifice in the short-term to

Patrick O'Flynn

Could Boris quit?

Could Boris do a Harold Wilson? Over the years there has been much speculation about the sudden resignation of Wilson as prime minister less than a year after he had settled, apparently for good, the momentous question of Britain’s future in Europe via the 1975 referendum. Was he forced out by MI5? Had he already got wind of his early-onset Alzheimer’s? Was there some other hidden personal scandal that would have emerged had he not stood down? The truth was rather more bland: it seems more likely that Wilson had just lost his appetite for the grind of the job. In a resignation minute circulated to all cabinet ministers he