Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Fraser Nelson

No way back for Miliband

David Miliband has now gone so far he can’t go back. But could this be his “botched election” moment? His appearance on the Jeremy Vine show went well, inasmuch as the callers lined up to denounce Brown and he seemed to engage with them well. His defence of Brown was again so weak that it would be read as a provocation. Brown was a good chancellor and has given us values we can go forward with, says Miliband, with a valedictory tone, as if to say, “go now, and go gracefully”. Brown must either destroy him, isolate him or yield to him. But Miliband cannot pretend nothing has happened. He

Dealing with Miliband: the inclusive approach

I wrote earlier that Brown is being urged to sack David Miliband.  But the Mirror’s Bob Roberts puts forward a different scenario – that Brown annoints Miliband as his heir apparent, thereby avoiding a leadership challenge now.  According to Roberts, our Prime Minister’s “ready” to do this, too – he may even seal the deal by making Miliband his Chancellor. Hm.  You can see the attraction for Brown – unless he does something pretty drastic, he’s likely to be forced out before the next election, and won’t have any chance to rectify his battered reputation.  But two problems present themselves: 1) this could make Brown seem even weaker, and 2) I doubt people will be too keen on yet another

Fraser Nelson

Cameron’s secret weapon

Cameron “does” punters very well. When I’ve followed him on the campaign trail, I’ve been struck by how he has a gift whereby he can click with pretty much anyone. For those who didn’t see his interview on Newsnight last night, you can watch it again here. It was arranged by Radio One’s Rajini Vaidyanathan, who has a deadly knack of catching politicians off guard (as Gordon Brown found out). She had assembled what should, for Cameron, have been a troublesome mix of Radio One listeners. A working single mother from Gravesend who wanted to know why she should be discriminated against under the Tories, and thought Cameron as “borderline

Will Brown wield the knife?

As Fraser writes in his cover piece today, Miliband doesn’t want to bloody his hands during any leadership struggle. Sure, the Foreign Secretary’s plotting with the best of them. But as for being the one to stick the knife between Brown’s shoulder-blades – that can be left for Jack Straw or any of that batch of ministers prepared to resign over all this. Or at least that’s the plan. Problem is, there’s always the chance that others won’t want to do Miliband’s dirty work for him. Jack Straw certainly isn’t too keen on the idea. And I suspect Harriet Harman, Ed Balls or any of the other suspected plotters won’t

Alex Massie

Brown’s Downfall

Obviously, there’s lots to say about the Glasgow East by-election result. We’ll get there eventually. But in the meantime here, via Iain Dale, is an updated version of Gordon Brown in his bunker. Most amusing. Warning: the sub-titles contain strong language.

Alex Massie

Miliband’s Moment?

No, I don’t think so. Do you? Really? On the other hand, Danny Finkelstein thinks that David Miliband’s piece in the Guardian this morning signals his determination to be a candidate to succeed Gordon Brown. Rosa Prince agrees. And there was me thinking that Miliband is the intelligent one. Doesn’t he remember William Hague’s example, doomed to become party leader too young and at the worst possible moment. There’s precious little upside in being the next Labour leader, whether the changeover takes place this year or next. Better by far to back a caretaker such as Jack Straw – the only politician named by Miliband in his piece – and

Just in case you missed them… | 30 July 2008

We’ve had a few technical problems today, so here are some Coffee House posts that you may have missed: Fraser Nelson wonders whether Alex Salmond is Labour’s biggest threat, and give his thoughts on the Labour leadership struggle. James Forsyth outlines the the internal turmoil that Labour can expect should Brown be ousted, and analyses David Miliband’s op-ed in the Guardian.  And Peter Hoskin asks whether Labour will be annihilated at the next election, and reports on the job losses at Northern Rock. 

Whilst Miliband’s a-plotting…

…Ed Balls is a-skipping.  Well, not quite – this footage is actually from an event back in May, and it hit YouTube in June.  But it’s only just made it up onto the indispensable Play Political.  I wonder if Team Miliband lies behind the discovery…

Fraser Nelson

Is Salmond the real threat for Labour?

I just bumped into John Mason, the glorious victor of Glasgow East, nemesis of the once mighty Scottish Labour and trigger of Gordon Brown’s leadership woes. He hardly said a word, being shown around with the demeanor of an awe-struck schoolboy who’s escaped from the pages of the Beano. I have said before that he was, in my view, the weakest of all the candidates, which just underlines the power of the SNP machine. Scottish Labour remains decapitated, without purpose or direction. Whilst the Scottish Tories are wrapped up in cutting deals with the SNP. Unionist parties in Scotland have never been weaker. Should England care? Yes, and not for

Fraser Nelson

Something a bit dainty about the Miliband technique

David Miliband was always expected to lay out his creed somehow – the surprise is that he has done so now. Here’s my take. Straw’s move last week, with his “calm down, dear” routine, where he persuaded Labour that he was in charge, was intended to show it was him, not Miliband, that worried MPs (and, by the by, Cabinet members) were coming to for help. Miliband is left looking a bit weak – like the sort of man who goes to the pub and orders half a lager (which he does) while Straw is hinting he’d take on Brown. The News of the World headline writers put down “Alpha

Can Labour die?

An essential article by Iain Martin in today’s Telegraph, on a topic that Coffee House will devote more attention to shortly – are Labour on the path to annihilation? On Martin’s account, the picture certainly looks bleak: “Endangered in England’s largest cities, losers in London, out of power in Scotland and sharing it with the nationalists in Wales, wiped out in the south, on the run in the north-west marginals, under fire in the West Midlands, all but bankrupt and with a collapsing membership: what it to become of Labour? This is how, if they are not careful, parties die. Extinction is never the result of a single event, rather

Clegg’s pendulum politics

Nick Clegg’s declaration that the Lib Dems will now concentrate on snaring 50 paticularly vulnerable Labour seats at the next election (see video above) is a puzzling one.  Ok, it might – as Guido points out – seal the near-total defeat of Labour, as the Tories and Lib Dems carve up Labour territory between themselves.  But that’s assuming Clegg’s party actually wins those seats – a very big ask, given how they’re currently polling. Instead the potential’s there for Clegg’s new tactic to further divide the party, and perhaps even weaken their election efforts.  You see, this is the same Nick Clegg who sold the Lib Dems as “tax-cutting” party only a couple of weeks

The quitting game

A quick update to my earlier post: according to the Evening Standard, ten ministers are now prepared to quit in protest at Brown’s leadership.  Of course, they may not go ahead with it.  But the story still fuels the idea that dissatisfaction with Gordon Brown is hardening, rather than fizzling away over the summer as Downing Street would have hoped.  Apparently, most in Labour now consider a revolt at the beginning of September “highly likely”.  It’s becoming increasingly difficult to disagree.

When politicians shut themselves away

What happens when politicians shut themselves away, and stare into an abyss both political and personal? After Bruce Anderson’s revelations about Gordon Brown yesterday, I think we need to know. So I re-watched Robert Altman’s 1984 film Secret Honor last night, looking for a bit of elucidation. Secret Honor gives us a fictionalised, post-Watergate Richard Nixon. He locks himself in a room – not with a computer and the garbled recollection of a Dominic Grieve quote, but with a bottle of scotch and a loaded gun – and delivers his political testimony to a tape recorder.  That’s what we get for the next 90 minutes. Stephen yesterday referred to Brown’s actions as “more that political paranoia”. 

An escalation

Rachel Sylvester’s article in today’s Times is a perfect summary of the plots threatening the Labour leadership. Two passages jumped out at me: “Civil servants – who can sink or save a politician – have not warmed to Mr Brown. ‘People say he’s charming in private but it’s completely untrue,’ an official who has worked closely with him said. ‘He’s incredibly rude. He doesn’t remember names. His e-mails are brusque demands. And his defining characteristic is anger. I’ve seen him kicking furniture.’” And “I spoke to a junior minister yesterday who claims to be prepared to resign in September in protest at Mr Brown’s leadership and believes that nine other government

Fraser Nelson

Which Prime Minister has fared worse than Brown?

Bruce Anderson says if Brown went now he’d be a “strong candidate for the accolade of ‘worst Prime Minister since 1900’” and it’s got me thinking – why just a candidate? Who would compete with him for this title? My take is that in politics (as in life) you play the hand you’re dealt. The Callaghan years were a disaster, but Sunny Jim was dealt a bad hand – and, crucially, was more popular than his party. You can argue that without him Thatcher would have had a far larger majority than she did in 1979. As for Eden – as Iain Martin pointed out yesterday – he did manage