Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

James Forsyth

The restless Tory family

Today’s YouGov poll is the latest Boris talking point. For what it is worth, it shows that the idea of Boris as leader reduces the Labour lead from six points to one. It is the first polling evidence we’ve seen that suggests the Tories would do better nationally under Boris. The Boris speculation has now reached such a level that nervous Liberal Democrats are calling up asking whether they should start taking it seriously and sotto voce inquiring as to how the Tories replace their leaders. All of this is, in many ways, hugely premature. Boris isn’t even an MP and there’s a massive difference between Tory backbenchers wondering after

James Forsyth

Boris puts the bubbles back into his campaign champagne

After Boris’s re-election as London mayor, his departing aide Guto Harri complained that the dry but effective campaign had rather taken the ‘bubbles out of the champagne’. Well, the Olympics is certainly putting them back in. Boris keeps taking opportunities that no other politician would dare to—the zip wire ride today being the latest, and most dramatic, example. The question is where does all this end, is it all just Olympics hi-jinks that will be forgotten when the flame leaves Stratford or is it just the next stage of the Boris for PM campaign? In my column in the magazine tomorrow, I say that it does seem to be more

The Tea Party claims another scalp

They may have failed to install one of their candidates as the Republican’s presidential nominee, but the Tea Party is having better luck in other elections. Last night, Ted Cruz — backed by Sarah Palin, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul — beat Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst 57-43 in the Republican primary for Texas’s senate election in November. Despite being outspent nearly three-to-one, Cruz — who has never run for office before — achieved a remarkable turnaround. In the first round of the primary just nine weeks ago, Dewhurst beat him 45-34 (as neither got more than 50 per cent it went down to last night’s run-off). In the second round,

Isabel Hardman

Calling in the Olympic ghostbusters

TfL have today stopped running those Boris Johnson announcements over the tannoys at Underground and national rail stations that were rather getting on commuters’ nerves. But their replacement seems to be trying to undo some of Boris’ good work in trying to scare people away from the centre of London. Last night, Westminster Underground Station played an announcement telling tourists that the city was now ‘really coming alive’ and urging them to make the most of the restaurants, museums and shops that they found around them. The station was relatively quiet at the time, save for a group of men clutching large flags. A TfL spokesperson said today: ‘We have

Isabel Hardman

‘Unstoppable’ Boris gets stuck on a zip wire

Oh dear: this morning Boris Johnson was being hailed as ‘unstoppable’ in his bid to be the next Conservative leader. But it turns out Westminster has been far too preoccupied with the boring details of how he can get re-elected in time to take over from David Cameron that we all failed to notice the major obstacle in the Mayor’s route to the Commons: Boris managed to get stuck on a zip wire this afternoon in Victoria Park. Eyewitnesses say that the Mayor was shouting for a ladder or a rope as he swung above the heads of the crowd. Boris knows that this sort of thing always works in

James Forsyth

Cameron’s reshuffle quandary

One can see why the idea of Iain Duncan Smith as Justice Secretary appeals to some in Tory high command, as the Daily Mail reveals this morning. The former leader is one of the few people who could square the party to a policy that treated rehabilitation as the main aim of the penal system. I expect, though, that IDS himself would not be keen on the move. But this story does illustrate one of the biggest problems that Cameron will face with his reshuffle, how to make room at the top. Among Tory ministers, there promises to be very little movement in the higher echelons of government. The Chancellor,

ONS blunder lets ministers blame falling real incomes on immigration

Yesterday the ONS published a report showing average disposable incomes at their lowest level since 2003. This is difficult news for ministers: as Isabel pointed out, concerns about the cost of living – stagnant wages and rising prices – are one of the main reasons given by voters in recent polls for turning away from the Conservatives. Imagine, then, how pleased ministers must have been when they saw that the ONS had thrown them a lifeline: the chance to blame it all on immigration. The ONS report discusses the effects of wages and prices, and then adds that ‘finally, sustained population growth led to incomes being spread across a greater

Isabel Hardman

Osborne’s policy gymnastics

It’s been a few weeks at least since George Osborne’s last U-turn, so it must be time for another one, mustn’t it? Today’s launch of the Funding for Lending Scheme is being hailed as another change of course from the Chancellor as it signals the slow death of the National Loan Guarantee Scheme. The Sun’s editorial this morning compared George Osborne to a gymnast, and said he was the ‘master of the U-turn’. The NLGS has only lent £2.5bn of the £20bn that it was allocated so far for small and medium businesses, and the FLS, which allows banks and other financial institutions to borrow at below market rates, is

Will tweets soon paralyse the nation?

It is becoming increasingly clear that Twitter might be the greatest threat to civilised life in Britain. Take just 24 hours of news: A 17 year-old has been arrested (and is currently being detained) in Weymouth for sending unpleasant tweets to the nation’s Olympic hero Tom Daley. Rio Ferdinand has been charged by the FA with retweeting a comment which referred to another footballer as a ‘choc-ice’. The Mail reports: ‘The initial ‘choc ice’ remark about Ashley Cole came two days after the Chelsea defender gave evidence on behalf of team-mate John Terry in his race trial concerning Ferdinand’s brother Anton.’ The Prime Minister felt moved to respond to two

Isabel Hardman

A not-entirely-comprehensive spending review

There are more rumblings this morning on the shape of the next comprehensive spending review, this time at grassroots level within the Liberal Democrats. The Times reports threats from former Lib Dem MP Evan Harris that any attempt to sign up to a traditional spending review will trigger an emergency motion at the party’s autumn conference. The leadership is already well aware of this issue: I blogged last week that a senior party figure had told me that the £10 billion of welfare cuts that George Osborne has predicted are necessary over the next spending review period are ‘just not going to happen’. Clegg and co know that the Lib

Isabel Hardman

Borismania takes hold

Boris Johnson has had a fantastic few days. On Thursday he drove a crowd in Hyde Park wild with his Mitt Romney banter. On Saturday he charmed the public with his thoughts on the Olympic opening ceremony (‘People say it was all leftie stuff. That is nonsense. I’m a Conservative and I had hot tears of patriotic pride from the beginning. I was blubbing like Andy Murray.’) Today, in between talking about glistening otters (which in itself is a feat: a politician getting away with talking about how wonderful it is to see semi-naked women in central London and not sounding like a dirty old man), he has emerged as

Disliking the Olympics opening ceremony does not make one a Nazi

Some conservatives have been accused of ‘politicising’ the Olympics by daring to say anything negative about the opening ceremony. Having begun by attacking an obscure back-bench MP, these accusations are now being aimed at Conservatives in the cabinet. Yet it is not conservatives, but the organisers of the opening ceremony who politicised the event. Naturally, those who agreed with the political bent on display rejoiced in it and continue to do so. Take the Labour Minister for Social Justice and Local Government in the Welsh Assembly, Carl Sargent who tweeted on the night: This is the best Labour Party political broadcast I’ve seen in a while. And: Working class history,

Briefing: the Libor review

‘It is clear that urgent reform of the Libor compilation process is required,’ says Martin Wheatley of the Financial Services Authority. Hardly a revelation: it’s been clear since Barclays was fined for its part in the manipulation. Some were even pushing for reform back in 2008, such as the then-president of the New York Fed (now Obama’s Treasury Secretary) Tim Geithner. But it is significant that Wheatley is saying this now, as he’s been tapped by George Osborne to lead a review of how Libor is set. The FSA hardly has much credibility on this — even Mervyn King is keen to pass the buck to them — but Wheatley

Isabel Hardman

The government has little power over the empty seats scandal

The papers today are full of empty seats at the Olympics. This morning, a Downing Street spokeswoman tried to take a glass-half-full approach, saying the empty seats were ‘disappointing’, but adding that the Prime Minister was ‘satisfied’ that Locog was working to resolve the issue. Locog carried out a review at the weekend which found that the seats were in accredited areas rather than those allocated to sponsors. The accredited areas are set aside for ‘members of the Olympic family’, an unpleasant phrase that denotes representatives of the IOC and of the sporting federations,  as well as coaches, athletes and athletes’ families. The different options available are: – Give the

Steerpike

Judo diplomacy

While the ladies’ beach volleyball is exciting Boris ‘glistening otters’ Johnson and the peeking Prime Minister, another event could be about to get very political. President Putin is set to arrive in town on Thursday: yes there will be bilateral meetings, but he’s really here for the judo. At a time when UK/Russian relations are particularly low, one Russian Embassy source jokes that perhaps diplomacy should be a little more hands on and that Putin should challenge fellow judo fan William Hague to a match. Sadly this will remain a pipe-dream, which is just as well – we would not want Hague’s old judo partner – Lord Sebastian Coe –

Isabel Hardman

Sneaking a peek at the beach volleyball

The Olympic beach volleyball is situated just behind Downing Street on Horse Guards Parade, and as such is perfectly located for a politician wishing to take an hour or so out from a hard day’s work. Boris Johnson is clearly a fan, writing in today’s Telegraph: As I write these words there are semi-naked women playing beach volleyball in the middle of the Horse Guards Parade immortalised by Canaletto. They are glistening like wet otters and the water is plashing off the brims of the spectators’ sou’westers. The whole thing is magnificent and bonkers. I’ve just returned from the morning lobby briefing, where us hacks remained focused on the important

Isabel Hardman

Whatever it takes to save the euro

In case you were in any doubt about how committed eurozone leaders are to the survival of the single currency, Angela Merkel has put out another statement on doing ‘everything possible to protect the eurozone’, this time with Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti. The pair had a phone conversation on Sunday and their remarks follow the joint statement released by Merkel and François Hollande on Friday, and Mario Draghi’s announcement last Thursday that the European Central Bank would do ‘whatever it takes’ to protect the euro. The markets are looking forward to something decisive later today as US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner arrives in Europe to meet German finance minister

Isabel Hardman

Osborne needs to give the Lib Dems sleepless nights on supply-side reform

Ed Balls is doing very well out of the GDP figures that were released on Wednesday. The Shadow Chancellor is right to say that George Osborne is not yet doing the right thing with the economy. But that doesn’t mean Balls’ solution is the right one. Cuts should have been only one side of the deal, but as Iain Martin points out in today’s Sunday Telegraph, the other side which should have kickstarted growth – supply-side reform – is not forthcoming because Osborne and Cameron are afraid of offending the Lib Dems. Similarly, James says in his column today that too often attempts to strike a balance between the supply-side