Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

James Forsyth

Can the Prime Minister recover from his self-inflicted wounds?

Andrew Rawnsley’s column in The Observer on how Gordon Brown undid all the good work of the early months of his premiership with the election that never was is essential reading. As Rawnsley puts it, “the election debacle was shattering to his credibility and authority. It was like one of those sci-fi movies where a mad scientist throws a switch and all the polarities are instantly reversed. Virtually overnight, Gordon Brown had alchemised his positives into negatives.”  Today, a Labour overall majority after the next election is far less likely than an overall Conservative one—this is remarkable given just how many seats the Tories have to win to obtain a majority.

James Forsyth

Tony Blair becomes a Roman Catholic

With the news that Tony Blair joined the Roman Catholic church last night in a ceremony led by Cardinal Cormac Murphy-O’Connor, I’d thoroughly recommend reading—or re-reading—Fraser Nelson’s piece on  the attitude of some Catholics in this country to Blair’s conversion. You might also be interested in Stuart Reid’s thoughts on the matter which he aired just before Blair left office.

Alex Massie

The Worst People in Europe?

My favourite comment of the year was left in response to Ross Douthat’s reply to this post of mine: This has to be the most useless post of the year. Why do conservatives like scottish independence? because they are as malevolent as the SNP. I mean, I like Slovakia, but breaking up Yugoslavia was, well, not the best thing in the world. Fairness demands I acknowledge that once his geography had been corrected, the same commenter rephrased his point thus: NDM, quite correct about my Slovakia/Slovenia mixup.  Up there with Mauritius and Mauritania. However, to judge the disaster that was the breakup of Yugoslavia by observing the Slovenia has done

James Forsyth

The Lib Dems need their A team on the field

Nick Clegg’s reshuffle illustrates the problems that he is going to have as Lib Dem leader. Three of the most talented and well know Lib Dems won’t be on the front bench. It is hard to imagine that a party as small as the Lib Dems can afford to have big beasts like Charlie Kennedy, Paddy Ashdown and Ming Campbell missing from the front line. The top team is, though, as Iain Martin argues, strong in certain aspects. Vince Cable is an impressive figure and if the economy goes south, he’ll make sure that the Lib Dems benefit politically. Ed Davey will be a more formidable foreign affairs spokesman than Michael

James Forsyth

Cameron and Osborne all smiles, for now

David Cameron and George Osborne are both singing from the same hymn sheet about the fact that there was no Granita style deal between the two of them in their joint interviews with the Mail and the Telegraph. The big difference between Cameron and Osborne and Blair and Brown is that Osborne was never the senior partner and as the younger man need not fear that he’s missed his turn. Probably the most likely source of future tension between the two of them is foreign policy. Where as Cameron is a classic Conservative when it comes to foreign policy, see his Berlin speech which was depressingly Hurdian, Osborne’s world view is far

Fraser Nelson

Brown at it again on party funding

Gordon Brown is an accomplished expert in the art of misrepresentation, here’s a prime example is from his press conference today: On the political funding issue, I think the Conservative Party has exactly the same problems, revealed yesterday, in fact a problem in relation to foreign donors which is not lawful… I think the most important thing for party political party funding is that people can see this thing being sorted out as quickly as possible and that’s why I regret the fact that the Conservatives have walked away from the discussions that are necessary to get an all party agreement on this issue. Exactly the same problems? In his dreams.

James Forsyth

Brown meets the press

The main news coming out of Gordon Brown’s monthly news conference is that nationalising Northern Rock is now clearly under serious consideration, with Brown and Alistair Darling both stressing that all options are on the table. The other notable thing was how Brown kept banging on about ‘the spirit of Christmas’ in, what came across on television, as a rather over the top fashion. One of the New Year’s resolutions for Brown’s media team must be to find a way of humanising him and allowing him to demonstrate some warmth and humour in a way that comes across as natural. PS Bob Marshall-Andrews, who’d be disloyal to himself if he

James Forsyth

Clegg fails Cameron’s Paxman test

Peter Hyman, Tony Blair’s former chief speechwriter, described Nick Clegg as a ‘mini-Cameron’ on Newsnight yesterday and there’s little doubt that Cameron and Clegg exude a similar aroma. Some think that this will dilute Cameron’s appeal, see Simon Heffer in the Telegraph this morning, but this ignores the fact that Clegg is not yet as able a politician as Cameron. For evidence of this, just compare how both fared against Jeremy Paxman. Last night, Clegg attempted to counter Paxman by questioning his entire method as Cameron famously did during the Tory leadership race in 2005. Clegg repeatedly told Paxman you can sneer if you like and tried to dismiss him

Fraser Nelson

Rogue Chancellor

Alistair Darling was brought on to be a grey, unremarkable chancellor. He’s fast turning into the Nick Leeson of British politics. Leeson, you will remember, was the rogue trader who played double or quits – hoping his small mistake would go away if he gambled even more. But he ended up sinking Barings. Darling should have allowed Northern Rock to be flogged to Lloyds when he had the chance. This small mistake led to a £30bn loan. Today, he’s doubled it to £60bn. And remember, he cannot guarantee the safe return of this cash – your money. The City is awash with rumours of the utter chaos going on behind

Fraser Nelson

Has Clegg got what it takes?

After perhaps the quietest leadership race in recent political history the Spectator/Threadneedle Newcomer of the Year has not disappointed us. I thought Nick Clegg would win by a mile: in the end his 510 votes are testimony what was (in my view) a superior campaign by Huhne (whom I underestimated). But the real winner was Vince “killer” Cable, who has had just enough limelight to shine and not so much that he’s had time to flop. He’s an economic expert on the economics brief: it shows what happens in the rare occasion where politicians have some expertise in their given area. There’s talk that Huhne would have moved Cable. I

James Forsyth

The challenge for Clegg

A chastened looking Nick Clegg has just delivered his first speech as Lib Dem leader. It was actually a pretty decent performance, trying to tie both Labour and the Tories to Britain’s ‘broken politics’. It was also refreshing to hear him put social mobility at the top of his agenda. There is, though, no getting away from the fact that this result is the worst possible start to his leadership. Clegg actually received fewer votes than Chris Huhne did in 2006. If Clegg trips up early on in his leadership he could find himself being written off before he’s really got started. The margin of victory means that he is essentially

James Forsyth

A benchmark for Clegg

The Lib Dem leadership result will be announced this afternoon and the general feeling in Westminster is that Nick Clegg has won, although folk aren’t ruling out an upset. The first test for Clegg will be whether he beats Chris Huhne by a more comfortable margin than Ming Campbell did in 2006, when the score in the final round was 57-42. Clegg’s next challenge will be to seize the news agenda, something that he was surprisingly poor at during the leadership contest. As Charlie Kennedy argues in The Guardian today, Vince Cable has been particularly good at this as he did not have to worry about his long term prospects

Alex Massie

Europe: Still Not Dead

Not content with permitting itself to be swamped by Muslim immigration (Quick: man the Viennese barricades!) it seems that poor old Europe is also committing cultural suicide by forgetting to worship god. In fairness, Rod, being smart, doesn’t quite share the apocalyptic vision of Europe’s future that has become oddly popular amongst American conservatives. Nor, also being smart, does James Poulos who weighs in here. In any case, the extent of European “godlessness” is exaggerated. For instance, though only 12% of Scots remain official members of the Kirk, the proportion of church going Scots rises to somewhere between one in five and one in four once all other religions and

James Forsyth

The real winners of the Lib Dem leadership contest…The Tories

When Ming Campbell was hurried into retirement by his Lib Dem colleagues, the general consensus was that it was bad news for the Tories. Before Ming’s departure, senior Tories joked that they were members of the preserve Ming society. There was a real worry among Tory supporters that Nick Clegg could emerge as an attractive alternative to David Cameron and eat into their support both winning back Lib Dem switchers and becoming a stopping off point for disillusioned Labour voters. The good news for the Tories is that even if Clegg does win on Tuesday, he’ll leave the leadership race with little to no momentum. A press that was generally enthusiastic

Alex Massie

Charlatans everywhere, I tell you

Sure, I’m not persuaded by all of Ron Paul’s policy positions. But, sod it, any candidate who happily uses the word mountebank in a rallying call to the masses has my vote*. How very splendid. Today, incidentally, is the anniversary (alas) of the Boston Tea Party. More happily it’s the occasion for another Ron Paul Moneybomb. The last one raised more than $4m. Here’s the good doctor’s message which is, sound money aside, not half bad at all: Message from Ron (12/15/07) What an amazing mission you and I are on. What great ideas we uphold — the legacy of the most important thinkers of liberty in our country’s history,

James Forsyth

Tories hit 45%

Today’s YouGov poll showing the Tories reaching 45% will send the party into the holidays in high spirits. If they can sustain this rating into the New Year, they’ll vastly increase the chances that Labour will turn in on itself. Gordon Brown, whose approval rating is now -26 compared to +48 in August, will come under even more pressure if things do not improve in the near future. Two numbers from the poll should particularly cheer the Tories. David Cameron and George Osborne now have a 7 point lead over Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling on who would do more for your family’s standard of living. While 77% think that

Mandelson enters the fray

Peter Mandelson’s dig at Gordon Brown for his botched, theatrically half-hearted signature of the Lisbon Treaty is more than the latest chapter in the 13-year-old feud between Blairites and Brownites. It is also (yet another) uncanny echo of the John Major era. The Grey One tried his best to plot a middle course on Europe – and ended up pleasing nobody. It is often pointed out that Labour is not split over Europe as the Tories were in the Nineties. That is true. But Mr Brown’s backbenchers are divided no less fiercely over a much more toxic issue: how soon the PM should step down. One Labour Privy Councillor told

Republicans must heed the voters to beat Hillary

Washington After almost a year of the candidates manoeuvring for position in the national and state polls, one aspect of the 2008 presidential election campaign remains as constant as the North Star: Hillary Clinton is the favourite. She is backed by most party regulars, supported by a national machine, advised by the most brilliant politician of her generation and perched on a consistent lead in the national opinion polls. Almost the only thing that could lose her the election is her personality. Behind their hands, observers compare her to Richard Nixon in 1968. Like Nixon, Clinton has a withdrawn, cool and calculating personality. The comparison does not end there. Both

An American conservative who loves the Constitution

A Republican debate in Florida in late November marked this electoral season’s debut of Adolf Hitler, that reliable presence in American presidential campaigns. The Arizona senator John McCain, struggling to draw even with the garrulous ex-New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani and the Mormon technocrat (and former Massachusetts governor) Mitt Romney, decided to burnish his pro-war credentials. The problem was, there was almost nobody to burnish them against. Seven of the eight candidates on stage had vied for months to outdo one another in their lock-stock-and-barrel support for George W. Bush’s Iraq policy. That left Ron Paul, the 72-year-old, ten-term congressman from Texas, to bear the brunt of McCain’s wrath. Paul