Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Fraser Nelson

Net migration has surged to 504,000. Why?

Net migration to Britain has passed 500,000 for the first time ever – twice as high as the recently upgraded forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility. The figure is quite stunning. Net migration had been expected to halve to just over 100,000 after Brexit, a figure the OBR doubled to 200,000 last week. So what’s going on? And how reliable is the data? It’s a complex story, and the 504,000 headline figure can be deceptive. It’s a mixture of students flooding back after lockdown and a surge in Ukrainians and Hong Kongers who arrived here as part of one-off refugee policies under Boris Johnson. EU net migration actually turned

Ross Clark

The unions are losing their power

The rail unions have announced further strikes for December and January. Nurses have already voted to strike for the first time in over a century. Now university lecturers, postal workers and Scottish teachers have joined in. So are we headed for a second Winter of Discontent – emulating the last months of the Callaghan government in 1979, when the rubbish piled up in Leicester Square and the dead went unburied? Things would have to get a whole lot worse before we get anywhere close to matching that grim season. In 1979, the number of days lost to strikes reached a post-war peak, at 29.5 million. Last time the unions threatened

New Zealand’s Supreme Court is playing a foolish game of politics

If you are still trying to come to grips with our Supreme Court’s delicate relation with the politics of Scottish independence, spare a thought for the people of New Zealand. Their courts have just dived headfirst into the political pool with no such hesitation as affects our justices. The result is not encouraging. Three years ago, numerous schoolchildren in New Zealand took part in a series of Greta Thunberg-inspired school strikes. Shortly after that, a youth organisation called Make it 16 was formed to agitate for a voting age of 16 rather than 18. Its argument was that if youngsters are likely to be affected by such matters as climate change,

Stephen Daisley

What now for Scottish nationalists?

The Scottish parliament does not have the power to legislate for a referendum on independence. The Supreme Court has made that clear and it is a rare piece of good news for Scotland’s embattled Unionists. What, though, of the other side? Not Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP; Iain Macwhirter has written insightfully about that elsewhere on Coffee House. I mean the voters, the roughly half of Scots who consistently tell pollsters they favour independence. What do they do now? It’s important to note, first off, that believing in independence does not equate to wanting another referendum any time soon. An October YouGov poll found 51 per cent of Scots would vote No in a

Steerpike

Jeremy Hunt reveals the truth about Boris’s ‘gold’ wallpaper

If there’s an upside to spending tens of thousands of pounds – as Boris Johnson did – in doing up his Downing Street flat, it’s surely that such a costly renovation will stand the test of time. Unfortunately the £88,000 makeover at No.11, masterminded by A-list interior designer Lulu Lytle, appears to have already seen better days. No pictures have ever emerged of the new look, which reportedly includes Persian rugs, cream walls, chandeliers and even ‘gold’ wallpaper (at £840 a roll). But Jeremy Hunt, who picked up survivor of the year at last night’s Spectator Parliamentarian awards, revealed that the wallpaper is already peeling – and that Boris’s short-lived

Patrick O'Flynn

Will Rishi Sunak get away with ignoring voters on the right?

Conventional wisdom has long held that the Conservatives win elections from the centre ground – including territory just to the right of centre – but lose them if they become ‘right wing’. John Major set out this theory explicitly in a press conference, and most of those in attendance nodded sagely along. For many years, election results appeared consistent with this assessment. Major won in 1992, turning round a Labour opinion poll lead by dumping the poll tax and tacking towards the centre. Margaret Thatcher’s earlier wins from the right could be put down to the opponents she faced – an exhausted James Callaghan regime in 1979 and unelectable leftists

Can Boris Johnson’s Charles de Gaulle act pay off?

It is only a month since Boris Johnson gave up his dramatic attempt to regain the Premiership he reluctantly surrendered in July. Already he is making headlines once more.  In an interview with CNN a slimmed down and bubbly Boris caused a diplomatic rumpus by accusing France and Italy of going wobbly and claiming that Germany wanted to see Ukraine quickly defeated by Putin’s invasion last February (thereby less than subtlety suggesting that only the firm resolution of one Boris Johnson kept a wavering Europe on Kyiv’s side).  For good measure, he dismissed claims that Brexit was a cause of our current economic woes as ‘nonsense’. When asked about the

Steerpike

Spectator Parliamentarian of the Year 2022, in pictures

What a year in politics it has been. 2022 has seen five Education Secretaries, four Chancellors, three Prime Ministers but there is only one Spectator and so it was no surprise to see some of Westminster’s most familiar faces descend on London’s Rosewood Hotel. Ministers and their opposite numbers tonight enjoyed the chance to break bread and toast each other. Master of Ceremonies for the evening was Robert Buckland, the man who switched from backing Rishi Sunak to Liz Truss in the first leadership race of the year but then ended up being sacked when the former succeeded the latter in October. He quipped: ‘Last year I was referred to

Lloyd Evans

The SNP’s howls of outrage at PMQs

Indyref dominated today’s PMQs. The Supreme Court has ruled out Nicola Sturgeon’s plan for a wildcat referendum, she must now proceed with Westminster’s blessing. Howls of outrage were heard from the SNP. Eight of its members stood up to complain that they felt trapped in the union against their will.  Rarely have the Scots Nats made such a splash at PMQs and their exposure today did them no favours. When a party surges in popularity, the quality of its MPs declines and it’s clear that many safe Scottish seats have fallen into the hands of incompetent duffers. Few SNP members in Westminster can craft a memorable phrase. Some struggle to

James Forsyth

What does the Supreme Court ruling mean for the SNP?

14 min listen

Starmer and Sunak have today come up against each other at PMQs for the first time since the Autumn Statement. It was an occasion dominated by questions from the Scottish Nationalists on the decision handed down by the Supreme Court ruling against a new independence referendum.  James Forsyth and Isabel Hardman discuss.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson. 

Isabel Hardman

The Tory planning row is becoming increasingly bitter

The Tories are really wheeling out all the greatest hits for party rows at the moment. Not content with a fight over the weekend about Brexit, they’re now having an increasingly bitter scrap about planning reform. Last night, ministers delayed a crunch vote on top-down housing targets after it became obvious they were going to have a serious revolt on their hands. The second day of the report stage of the Levelling Up and Regeneration Bill has been put off from Monday to a date in the near future – government sources tell me they are still expecting a vote before Christmas – after Theresa Villiers gained the support of

Charles Moore

MPs won’t ditch the House of Lords

The Supreme Court decided rightly on Wednesday, rejecting the Scottish government’s claim that a second referendum on independence was not a ‘reserved matter’. But since it was obvious from the beginning that this was the case, why did Nicola Sturgeon insist on bringing an unwinnable action? Presumably to lay blame, as usual, on UK authorities. The Supreme Court is presented as the enemy of the people, Ms Sturgeon conveniently forgetting that the people, when last asked, voted against independence and may not wish to be asked again in the hope that they will give the ‘right’ answer. The SNP will now claim that the next Scottish parliament election will be amount

In defence of Brexit

Opponents of Brexit have been given plenty of ammunition in recent weeks. Trade with the European Union has taken a big knock. Many British exporters say that owing to the excessive bureaucracy they can no longer sell to the Continent. The United Kingdom’s new trade deals have promised a lot but delivered little. There is worldwide inflation, but Britain is still expected to be the worst economic performer in Europe next year, by some margin. Opinion polls suggest an ever-growing number of voters think it was a mistake to leave. This magazine is the only publication to have backed British independence in both the 1975 and 2016 referendums – arguing

James Forsyth

Why Starmer’s going after the Lords

It’s not just the government that’s now beholden to forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility. Keir Starmer told the BBC that Labour doesn’t ‘quarrel with the number that the OBR put out as a target or trying to get the debt down’. So Starmer accepts that the government needs to find around £50 billion through spending cuts or tax rises to get debt falling as a percentage of GDP in the medium term. This applies not only to the current government, but to any government he may run in the future. Of course, Labour stress that they would make ‘different choices’ to the Tories in how they close a

Isabel Hardman

Sunak and Starmer risk getting too comfortable at PMQs

Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak seem to be settling into a comfortable but largely unremarkable slanging match at each Prime Minister’s Questions. Today the pair traded one-liners about each other while failing to land any blows or indeed move the political debate along at all. The Labour leader opened by condemning Fifa and the behaviour of the Qatari regime during the men’s football World Cup, before performing a handbrake turn to talking about the economy. Sunak had been leafing through his briefing notes to find the section on Qatar, but found himself instead responding to a question about why Britain faces the lowest growth of any OECD country over the

Alex Massie

It could soon be game over for Nicola Sturgeon

The idea that a referendum on Scottish independence could be held without it having any bearing on the constitution of the United Kingdom was – though Lord Reed did not quite put it like this – utterly preposterous. This was what the Scottish government argued, however: Holyrood could legislate for a referendum because such a plebiscite would be of no consequence. As a matter of common sense this was evidently specious nonsense; as a matter of law, it is an argument which has been rejected by the Supreme Court today.  Sturgeon’s response was risible. Lord Reed’s judgement that Scotland is neither a colony nor an oppressed nation actually demonstrates that

Rory Sutherland

What the media is doing to our politics

An American academic told me that during the 2016 presidential election nobody in academia believed there was the faintest chance Donald Trump would win. Except for the primatologists, that is. It was that silverback gorilla, alpha male thing – and Trump played the role freakishly well. One election tweet showed him enthroned in his private jet eating a KFC meal, gravy and all. This said ‘I have a Boeing 757 with monogrammed headrests, but I eat the same food as you.’ That’s anthropological gold, right there. No one could imagine Hillary Clinton eating KFC – she’d be hospitalised by a trip to Nando’s. No one could imagine Hillary Clinton eating

Nicola Sturgeon is running out of road

Nicola Sturgeon gave a predictable response to the Supreme Court’s ruling that the Scottish government does not have the power to legislate for a referendum on Scottish independence. The First Minister dialled up the grievance factor by claiming the decision ‘exposes as myth any notion of the UK as a voluntary partnership’. If only there was a vote in the past eight years which disproves her point.  The court’s ruling, delivered in the clipped tones of the Edinburgh-educated Lord Reed, was a fitting coup de grace in response to the grandstanding of the Scottish government and Scottish National Party. Rallies and protests are reportedly being scheduled the length and breadth