Alistair Haimes

Alistair Haimes is an independent data analyst.

Lockdown sceptics should support this lockdown

Scepticism is supposed to be the bedrock of science. But where scepticism shades into cynicism it can be as blind to changing events as the unexamined credence it claims to displace. Scientific belief should be based on informed supposition which is then rigorously tested against the evidence — that is the basis of the scientific

Lockdown and the R-number: is Neil Ferguson right?

Earlier today, Prof Neil Ferguson told a parliamentary committee that the UK death toll would have been halved if the UK had locked down a week earlier. A claim certain to generate headlines – but how confident can we be in his figures? I’m a financial strategist, and like many people whose day-job is analysing complicated