Fraser Nelson

Brown’s G20 bounce trims Tory lead to 7 points

Brown's G20 bounce trims Tory lead to 7 points
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The figure Gordon Brown will have been waiting for is now in: the post G20 bounce. He's reduced the Tory lead to 7 points ( from 10 points pre-G20) with Labour up a modest three points to 34% according to a YouGov poll published in the Sunday Times tomorrow. The Tories are at 41% and Labour at 34% and the Lib Dems down one to 16%

Some 52% said the G20 summit had been a success (see, the power of that $1.1 trillion figure!) Brown's approval rating is up from 36% to 41% although still outweighed by the 53% disapproving.

If Labour were a rational party interested in survival, they'd call an election now and do the equivalent of crash land on the Hudson - leaving the Tories to be in power during those headlines of 3.5m unemployment and a possible IMF bailout.

This isn't a game-changing poll, to put it mildly; it's hardly a transformation from the post-Lehmans peak of 12-point lead that YouGov gave to the Tories on Valentine's Day. But I always wait to hear from Anthony Wells before deciding what to think of polls. He hasn't blogged yet, but keep your eye on him here.

Written byFraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson is the editor of The Spectator. He is also a columnist with The Daily Telegraph, a member of the advisory board of the Centre for Social Justice and the Centre for Policy Studies.

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