James Forsyth

Every pollster now has the Tories on course for an overall majority

Every pollster now has the Tories on course for an overall majority
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Today started with a good poll for the Tories and it ends with another. The latest ICM poll for The Guardian has the Tories on 44 percent, up six points on last month. Labour are on 32, down one, and the Lib Dems on 16, down 3. Year on year, the Tories are up seven, Labour down three and the Lib Dems down four.

Worryingly for Brown the public have lost confidence in his economic activism. Confidence in Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling has dropped 18 points in two months. Only 31 percent of voters think the Prime Minister’s actions will actually achieve anything positive while David Cameron and George Osborne now have a narrow two point lead over Brown and Darling on the question of who do you trust most with the economy.

2009 is shaping up to be a very good year for the Tories. Polls from every pollster place them above 40 percent and every pollster shows the Tory lead growing. The Brown bounce appears to have passed and the Lib Dems are stuttering. One wonders how long it will be before a southern Lib Dem MP begins to make inquiries about whether there might be a home—and a seat—for them in the Tory party.

 

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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