Robert Peston Robert Peston

Has Leo Varadkar come to Boris Johnson’s rescue?

I pass on, with little confidence or real understanding, that Boris Johnson seems to believe that Leo Varadkar and Dublin have lessened their objections of principle to his Brexit offer. Maybe both sides are moving in a significant way. We’ll see.

What I should point out however is that if the negotiations were to collapse this weekend, that would be the worst timing for Johnson, because it would spur rebel Tory MPs to use SO24 next week to take control of Commons business – and they would try to get a motion passed in favour of a referendum on May’s gone-but-not-forgotten Brexit deal.

When that flopped (as it probably would), the rebels would go for a vote of no confidence, to engineer Johnson’s removal.

As I understand it, this has been their plan.

However if Dublin and (on Friday) Brussels signal a deal is a genuine possibility, even the ultras among Tory rebels will feel obliged to give Johnson and his negotiators the time and space to try and conclude that deal.

Robert Peston
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Robert Peston
Robert Peston is Political Editor of ITV News and host of the weekly political discussion show Peston. His articles originally appeared on his ITV News blog.

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