Peter Hoskin

Poll blues for the Tories

There’s another post-PBR opinion poll for us to mull over tonight; this time courtesy of The Times / Populus.  The headline figures put the Tories below the 40 percent mark, and have Labour once more closing the gap:

Conservatives — 39 percent (down 2)
Labour — 35 percent (no change)
Lib Dems — 17 percent (up 1)

It all seems counterintuitive.  What about the sceptical response to Brown’s PBR?  What about the Damian Green affair?  Either this poll is an outlier, or these events – which felt seismic within the Westminster bubble – just haven’t registered that much with the public.  I guess we need to see a few more polls before drawing a conclusion – and the long-term trends are still set against Brown – but, for now, it’s safe to say that the Tories will be disappointed with these results.

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