Michael Simmons Michael Simmons

Reeves needs to tell the public that they’re wrong

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Writing about Britain’s spending plans has started to feel a bit like swimming through treacle. It’s not that there aren’t lots of interesting observations to make about Wednesday’s £300 billion spending announcement. Such as the fact that the NHS sucks up the bulk of the resource spending with a 3 per cent rise in real terms, while every other department combined only grows by 0.2 per cent. Or that the health service will soon take up nearly half of all day-to-day government spending on services. Or that only 13 per cent of Rachel Reeves’s capital spending increase is classed as ‘growth-focused’.

It’s hard to pay attention to this because of the sense that the looming fiscal crisis is being largely ignored. Nearly 45 per cent of the UK’s GDP is spent by the state, while the maximum level of tax our economy has tolerated so far is 38 per cent. As the economist Andrew Lilico has pointed out, there’s no escaping the fact this means a deficit of around 6 per cent every year.

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