Labour is heading for its worst election performance since 1983, according to YouGov’s long-awaited MRP forecast. The poll also makes for miserable reading for parliament’s independent candidates, most of whom look set to lose their seats. Given that YouGov was one of the few pollsters to correctly predict a hung parliament in 2017, it would seem foolish to dismiss their predictions. Here are the eight big names who could find themselves booted out of parliament come 13 December:
Don Valley – Caroline Flint, Labour
Prediction: Likely Conservative GAIN
A former minister for Europe under Gordon Brown, Flint is one of the few Labour Remainers to have undergone a full Brexit conversion. She was one of just 19 Labour MPs to have voted for Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal. What’s more, she is the only Labour MP reselected in 2019 to have voted against the Letwin amendment that forced Boris Johnson to seek a delay to Brexit.

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