Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Wednesday

Ian Williams Ian Williams

Xi Jinping’s chilling words for Putin

It was perhaps the most intriguing moment of their Moscow summit. As Xi Jinping left the Kremlin last night, he stood face to face with Vladimir Putin and told the Russian leader, ‘Change is coming that hasn’t happened in 100 years and we are driving this change together’. The two men clasped hands, smiling. ‘I agree,’ Putin said, briefly bringing up his free hand to hold Xi’s arm. The Chinese leader then added, ‘Please take care, dear friend’. Both regard western democracies as decadent and in decline and share a culture of grievance and victimhood  Xi then walked down a step and into his limousine. Putin stood awkwardly at the

Kate Andrews Kate Andrews

Why is inflation going back up?

For the past few months, the debate over inflation in Britain has centred around just how fast the rate might fall. Both the Bank of England and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s most recent forecasts have been very optimistic, showing inflation falling back down to something approaching the Bank’s target of 2 per cent by the end of the year. Despite a slow start to the year, and CPI (core price inflation) remaining in the double digits, virtually everyone has assumed the headline rate was on a one-way track, heading downwards.  This makes this morning’s update a surprise and a blow to the economic consensus, as the Office for National

John Ferry John Ferry

The next SNP leader will double down on economic delusion

Humza Yousaf is the continuity candidate. Kate Forbes is the fresh start candidate and Ash Regan is the Braveheart, director’s cut, candidate. As far as character positioning goes, it’s quite clear where each potential new first minister of Scotland stands. Digging deeper, clear policy differences have emerged between the three. Yousaf wants to directly challenge the UK government in court over its blocking of gender reform, where as Forbes and Regan would drop the issue. Forbes and Yousaf have intimated they will adopt a gradualist approach to independence, where as Regan insists she will somehow engineer separation talks with the UK government if pro-independence parties win more than 50 per cent of

Coffee House

Full list: which MPs will vote against Sunak’s Brexit deal?

This afternoon MPs will get the chance to register to vote on the ‘Stormont brake’ aspect of Rishi Sunak’s revised Brexit deal, with No. 10 treating this as a vote on the Windsor Framework as a whole. Labour have said that they will back the Conservatives in the voting lobbies so there is no danger of ministers losing the vote. However the government still hopes to keep the rebellion as small as possible. The DUP have now confirmed that all eight of their number will not support Sunak, with James Duddridge becoming the first Tory to add his name to that list. DUP: Conservatives who will vote against: The European

Patrick O’Flynn Patrick O'Flynn

Is it game over for Boris Johnson?

I don’t know about you, but it’s getting rather tiresome for me now. The Boris Johnson saga, that is. Did he knowingly mislead parliament about rule-breaking lockdown parties in Downing Street? Very probably. Though perhaps not certainly, if one places any credence in his argument that nobody in authority definitively told him boozy post-work gatherings in Downing Street offices were prohibited. So on that front everything depends on what standard of proof of deliberate deceit the privileges committee decides to work to. It was a case of cometh the hour, cometh the man. And the hour is now passed If it throws the book at him, will he survive any

Tuesday

Steerpike Steerpike

Foreign Office blows £2.5 million on ‘disinformation’ index

‘Cuts’, ‘retrenchment’ and ‘savings’ are very much the buzz words over on King Charles Street. There’s lots of talk about ‘fierce and draconian’ reductions in foreign aid spending with James Cleverly warning that ‘money is tight.’ So Mr S was surprised to discover that the Foreign Office will spend at least £2.5 million on the controversial ‘Global Disinformation Index.’ What’s that, you might ask? The GDI is a (supposedly) non-partisan, non-profit which aims to provide ‘independent, neutral and transparent data and intelligence to advise policymakers and business leaders about how to combat disinformation.’ The British-based outfit recently hit the headlines on the other side of the pond after ranking leading

Steerpike Steerpike

Boris versus Cummings: Round XII

Quick, nurse, they’re at it again! Boris Johnson’s evidence to the Privileges Committee today has re-started the longest running war in Westminster, after a temporary cessation of hostilities. Johnson savages his former No. 10 advisor Dominic Cummings in his submission, referencing the Vote Leave guru and his infamous Substack no fewer than ten times during his 52-page submission. Suffice it to say, none of those references are complimentary. Johnson torches his onetime confidante in his testimony, declaring that Cummings ‘cannot be treated as a credible witness’ as he ‘bears an animus towards me’. He writes that ‘it is not clear what, if any, work the Committee has done to test

Mary Dejevsky

Does it matter if Putin uses a body double?

Was it Vladimir Putin or wasn’t it? ‘Vladimir Putin’ was certainly shown on television being helicoptered into Crimea this week, meeting ‘the people’ and driving himself around reconstruction sites in the devastated city of Mariupol. In the wider world, though, there was widespread scepticism that it was the real Russian President. Clips were posted on social media showing the supposedly different chin-line and puffier cheeks of the latest ‘Putin’, while even the BBC injected a note of doubt into some of its despatches, using words like ‘reportedly’ to qualify his (potential) visit. There have long been rumours that Putin uses a body-double – although it is also possible that his

Katy Balls Katy Balls

ERG criticises Sunak’s Brexit deal – but could still back it

What scale of rebellion will Rishi Sunak face on his Brexit deal? There had been hopes in Downing Street and the whips’ office that this could be in single figures when the deal is put to a vote tomorrow. However, the DUP leader Jeffrey Donaldson has said his party – all eight MPs – will vote against (notably, the Ulster Unionist party today described it as ‘an important stepping stone’), leading to concerns that Tory Brexiteers could follow suit. Today, the European Research Group (ERG) met to discuss its ‘Star Chamber’s’ legal findings – and it doesn’t make for pretty reading for the Prime Minister. While Sunak would like the

Katy Balls Katy Balls

Who wants Boris back?

18 min listen

Boris Johnson has today made his defence of partygate, before he is questioned by the Privileges Committee tomorrow. He accepts that he misled the House of Commons, but insists he made his statements ‘in good faith’ and that he ‘would never have dreamed’ of doing so intentionally. But who’s going to support him now? Katy Balls speaks to Fraser Nelson and Paul Goodman.

Alexander Horne

Does Boris Johnson’s partygate defence stand up to scrutiny?

This morning, Boris Johnson’s response to the accusations against him was published in a substantial dossier to the Privileges Committee. It comes just a day before the unprecedented hearing that is likely to determine his political future. This submission was a long time coming. In its interim report, published on 3 March, the Committee noted that it had first written to Johnson asking for his version of events as long ago as 21 July last year. Spectator books editor Sam Leith – who worked with Johnson in his former role as Daily Telegraph comment editor – suggested that this late submission was very much ‘on brand for the great man’. What

Michael Simmons Michael Simmons

Immigrants are Sunak’s only hope for growing the workforce

Just how does Rishi Sunak intend to grow the economy? It’s the second of his five pledges; last week’s Budget was full of Tory talk about the virtues of getting people off benefits and into work. But the data shows a rather different picture: five million are on benefits while mass immigration – now running at record levels – is once again the only major factor expanding the workforce. The OBR envisages this problem continuing, with immigration running at near-record numbers while Brits claim sickness benefit at the rate of about 5,000 a day. An odd and expensive economic model – some data out today puts it into more perspective.

Iain Macwhirter

Nicola Sturgeon has destroyed her own reputation

I don’t know about voter’s remorse but there was precious little remorse from Nicola Sturgeon on Loose Women on Monday for the chaos she inflicted on her party by resigning in pique without giving it a chance to organise an orderly transition. She showed all the insouciance of a teenager who had just wrecked the family car. Nothing to do with me – it’s really your fault for giving me the keys. It was fitting that Nicola Sturgeon should have decided to deliver her valedictory, not to a committee of her peers in parliament – she reportedly sidestepped an invitation from the Scottish Affairs Select Committee – but to a gaggle

James Heale James Heale

Johnson makes his partygate defence

Boris Johnson has today published his long-awaited ‘partygate’ defence, ahead of his appearance before the Privileges Committee tomorrow afternoon. In the 52-page submission, Johnson accepts that he did mislead the House of Commons when he said that ‘the rules and guidance had been followed at all times’ during Covid. But he insists he made his statements ‘in good faith’ and that he ‘would never have dreamed’ of doing so intentionally. The committee claims that his submission ‘contains no new documentary evidence’; sources close to Johnson dispute this. Johnson’s defence broadly relies on three familiar arguments. The first is the absence of any smoking gun which proves that he definitely knew

Kate Andrews Kate Andrews

Has government borrowing really been brought under control?

To what extent have the public finances really been brought under control? This morning’s update from the Office for National Statistics reveals that public sector net borrowing reached £16.7 billion in February. This is more than double the figure from February 2022 of £7.1 billion, and also well above the consensus estimate of around £11 billion.    It is the highest February borrowing figure since records began, primarily driven upward by the Energy Price Guarantee, which continues to see the government cap the unit price of energy and subsidise the rest. Last February, Russia was only starting its illegal invasion of Ukraine; now the public sector net borrowing figure reflect all that’s

Ian Williams Ian Williams

Beijing is already bankrolling Putin’s war

It hardly seems like the most propitious time for Xi Jinping to be visiting Moscow. There’s an international arrest warrant out for his host Vladimir Putin for war crimes, and the man Xi has described as his ‘best friend’ spent the weekend inspecting land he’s snatched from Ukraine – in gross violation of the principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity, which Xi endlessly trumpets. On the eve of today’s formal talks in the Russian capital, the US said Xi should press Putin to end his barbarity. ‘We hope that President Xi will press President Putin to cease bombing Ukrainian cities, hospitals and schools, to halt the war crimes and atrocities

Freddy Gray Freddy Gray

The Stormy Daniels case won’t stop Donald Trump

The 45th president of the United States of America — and the leading Republican contender to win back the White House in 2024 — may or may not be arrested today or tomorrow.  According to his former-lawyer-turned-legal-nemesis Michael Cohen, Donald Trump should escape the indignity of handcuffs but could well be ‘fingerprinted, swabbed [and] mugshotted.’ Cohen insists he doesn’t want to see images of Trump doing a ‘perp walk’ because, he says, ‘he respects the institution of the presidency.’  Trump may despise Stormy Daniels, but he would surely respect the hustle   Cohen, a convict himself, is hardly the most credible source. But because he’s a witness against Donald Trump, the media and,

Gavin Mortimer Gavin Mortimer

Has Emmanuel Macron become France’s ‘Caligula’? 

The government of Emmanuel Macron won a vote of no confidence in the National Assembly on Monday by a mere nine votes. The cross-party no-confidence motion, tabled by a Centrist coalition fell just short of the 287 votes it needed to bring down the government.  To succeed the no-confidence motion required the support of the centre-right Republican party, augmenting the votes of the left-wing NUPE coalition and Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party, both of whom are opposed to the government’s reform bill that was passed last Thursday without a parliamentary vote. Instead, on Macron’s orders, Prime Minister Élisabeth Borne used a controversial clause in the Constitution, Article 49.3, to pass

Owen Matthews

Were Ukrainians behind the Nord Stream bombings?

Vladimir Putin has his story, and he’s sticking to it: the destruction of three of the four Gazprom-owned Nord Stream pipelines on 26 September 2022 was the work of the American government. Speaking to reporters in Siberia last week, Putin insisted that the Nord Stream attacks had been carried out on a ‘state level’ and dismissed as ‘sheer nonsense’ a slew of recent stories pointing the finger at a group of freelance, Ukrainian-backed divers operating off a small hired yacht. But reported facts have been stacking up against Putin’s version of events. Earlier this month, the New York Times published a detailed investigation that suggested that the blasts were, in fact,

Monday

Stephen Daisley Stephen Daisley

Don’t rush for tickets on Nicola Sturgeon’s farewell tour

Nicola Sturgeon’s valedictory address to the RSA was her ‘And now we turn to the liars…’ speech. The outgoing SNP leader’s remarks were nominally about inequality and climate change but she was really there to talk about the distorting impact of social media on democratic politics. Given her departure was possibly hastened by the pushback against her Gender Recognition Reform Bill, which saw women’s rights campaigners and others organise via social media, it’s understandable that the First Minister would feel a little irked by these disruptively democratic platforms.  The ‘nature of the discourse’, Sturgeon opined, was ‘undermining our ability… to address the big issues’. The ‘damage’ social media was doing