Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Will public support for junior doctors wane?

18 min listen

On the day that junior doctors begin a four-day strike over pay and working conditions, Lucy Dunn, The Spectator’s social media editor and qualified doctor speaks to Kate Andrews and Fraser Nelson. Will public support for the strikes turn if patient safety is put at risk? Also on the podcast, Kate takes a look at the latest IMF forecast for the UK. 

Ross Clark

Interest rates can’t go back to being as low as they were

Good news – at least for those who hold faith in economic forecasts. The IMF has just eradicated half the recession it forecast, in January, for Britain. At that point, it expected the UK economy to shrink by 0.6 per cent over 2023 – which would have meant Britain uniquely suffering a recession among advanced nations. Today, in its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF has revised that down to a fall of 0.3 per cent. Moreover, while the outlook for Britain has improved, for a number of other countries it has worsened, most notable for Germany and Japan. Germany is now also forecast to share our recession, with output

Why is Humza Yousaf still fighting for this doomed gender bill?

With the arrest of the SNP chief executive, Peter Murrell, and police cars surrounding Nicola Sturgeon’s home still vivid in the public mind, you might have thought that the new First Minister, Humza Yousaf, would want to lower the temperature of Scottish politics just a bit. To look, for example, for some positive agenda to unite his party and the country, to avoid controversial legislation that is opposed by Scottish voters and divides the independence movement. Apparently not. We’re told that he is about to commit to a doomed legal battle against the UK government’s veto on the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill. What does he know that we don’t?

John Keiger

Macron’s muddled foreign policy

Even the French reports of President Macron’s state visit to China last week were unflattering. The highly choreographed ceremonies with Xi Jinping – redolent of foreign emissaries paying homage to Chinese emperors – produced nothing on Ukraine, nothing on Taiwan. The only tangible outcome was Beijing graciously extending for another four years the loan of two giant pandas to France’s Beauval zoo. Macron’s performance in China and his notion of European strategic autonomy gives the impression he has been played by Xi From Putin to Xi, Macron has set out to be cleverer than all. Convinced of his own intelligence and persuasive powers he defies reality in believing that experienced autocrats

Ian Acheson

Violent extremists won’t spoil Joe Biden’s visit to Northern Ireland

What can violent extremists do to wreck Joe Biden’s first visit to Northern Ireland? The answer is precious little. The President’s visit has been denied the electoral fairy dust of a functioning Executive as he blows in to hail 25 years of the Good Friday Agreement. While that might disappoint some local politicians keen to bathe in some harmless warm platitudes, it will be less of a security headache for those charged with keeping him safe. So what of the known arrangements and the risks? Biden will land at Belfast International Airport this evening and be taken, one assumes by air, to a venue in the city for some glad-handing.

The CBI has outlived any useful purpose

The director-general has been forced to stand down amid allegations of misconduct. There are allegations against others inside the organisation of harassment and even rape. And a culture of bullying and misogyny has been revealed. It is just possible that the CBI could be in worse shape. It could have been engaged in satanic rituals, perhaps, or turned out to be funded directly by Vladimir Putin, or short-listed Nigel Farage as its new boss. But it could not be a lot worse.  For an organisation that is meant to represent British business, the last few weeks, culminating in today’s dismissal of Tony Danker, are about as bad as it gets. As a new boss

James Kirkup

Women are being ignored again in the surrogacy debate

Just over five years ago, I wrote an article here about sex and gender and the issues raised by policies and practices allowing people to self-identify in the gender of their choice. Then, the topic was obscure and marginal to a great many people: my decision to write about it was regarded by many friends and contacts as eccentric and perhaps self-harmingly misjudged. Today, with the sex/gender debate firmly established on the political agenda, I’ve largely left the conversation. Where once there weren’t enough people in politics paying attention, I sometimes think there are now too many. Would it really do any harm to ask a surrogate mother to affirm

William Nattrass

It has become illegal to support Russia in the Czech Republic

Supporting Russia’s brutal invasion of Ukraine is now socially and morally beyond the pale in most of the western world. Even being wary of arms deliveries to Ukraine is, in most places, considered wrong. But in the Czech Republic things are being taken a step further, as those who express controversial views of the war are prosecuted under legal restrictions on free speech.  Ambiguous laws are suddenly being used to criminalise the views of a significant portion of the population A young man who attended an anti-government protest in Prague earlier this year wearing a backpack with a ‘Z’ sticker and a jacket with the emblem of the Wagner Group

Steerpike

Coronation carriage canned for Speaker Hoyle

It’s less than a month to go until the Coronation and already the media are going mad for anything royal-related. A great hullabaloo has been raised over everything from the role of non-Anglican faiths in the Order of Service to the shortened route that the King’s procession will be taking, compared to the much longer journey in 1953. And so, in a bid to join in this passion for pageantry, Mr S thought he would make his own inquiries as to whether Lindsay Hoyle would be doing his own bit for proceedings by using the official Speaker’s State Coach. This seventeenth century carriage has been used for every coronation since 1831

James Heale

Is Labour using Dominic Cummings’s tactics?

10 min listen

Today Keir Starmer has doubled down on Labour Party adverts attacking the Conservative’s record on crime, and which seemingly accuse Rishi Sunak of not caring about child sex abuse. But is everyone in the party willing to play hardball? Or have the adverts highlighted divisions between senior Labour MPs?  Also on the podcast, after Peter Murrell was arrested in connection with an investigation into the SNP’s finances, why has a luxury motorhome now been seized by police? James Heale speaks to Fraser Nelson and Michael Simmons.  Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Are Yes voters abandoning the SNP?

New party leaders usually deliver their party a boost in the polls. One of the first signs that voters were not comfortable with Liz Truss as their Prime Minister was the absence of any rise in Conservative fortunes following her success last September in securing the keys to 10 Downing St. Those doubts were then simply strongly amplified when the financial markets reacted adversely to her ‘fiscal event’ in which she and her chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, proposed to fund tax cuts via borrowing.  Even if Yes voters’ faith in independence continues to be undiminished, their support for the SNP no longer appears unconditional. Half a year later, her successor, Rishi

Steerpike

Is Penny Mordaunt on manoeuvres?

Since entering (and losing) successive Tory leadership contests last year, Penny Mordaunt has thrown herself into the role of Leader of the House with characteristic gusto. Her weekly sessions at Business Questions in the Commons have become required watching, as she dispatches SNP goons with a mix of bombast and brio. Indeed, watching her roast of Gary Lineker last month on one of Mordaunt’s regular Twitter clips, Mr S felt he was watching a party political broadcast on behalf of the Penny Mordaunt party. And perhaps there are some signs that Mordaunt hasn’t yet abandoned her dreams of one day leading the Tories. Over the Easter weekend, she released a

Sam Leith

We live in a one-way shame culture 

Anyone who has ever published a book and been dismayed by an anonymous review online will have cheered inwardly at the story of David Wilson. Professor Wilson is a criminologist and historian who has published several books. Each of his books has received a scathing one-star review on Amazon from a pseudonymous critic calling himself ‘Junius’. The latest was posted, he says, within a few hours of his new book being published: ‘abysmal… avoid… low quality… poor research… would disgrace an undergraduate dissertation’.  Such reviews aren’t just words: they can cause material harm to books in Amazon’s ranking system. Most authors will have experienced something like this (I’ve got off pretty lightly so far, though I

Patrick O'Flynn

Labour is right: the Tories are soft on law and order

The spouse of one of Britain’s major party leaders would be forgiven for feeling both queasy and furious about Labour’s wave of attack ads against Rishi Sunak. Not Akshata Murty, aka Mrs Sunak, who has already been through some very rough stuff about her and her husband’s tax affairs – but Victoria Starmer, wife of Keir, on the basis that those who dish it out must expect to have to take it back in kind and without complaint. Politics is the proverbial rough old trade at the best of times, but there is now every sign that the looming 2024 general election will be one of the dirtiest ever.  People

It’s no surprise some Irish-Americans remain clueless about the Troubles

For Democrats and their friends in the Irish-American community, there were really only two parties who achieved the Good Friday Agreement: the Clinton administration and the courageous peacemakers of the Irish Republican movement. And so it was that Bill Clinton and Gerry Adams topped the bill last Monday at a grand back-slapping affair for Sinn Fein and their unnamed comrades in New York. Held in the Great Hall at Cooper Union where – the full-to-capacity audience was reminded – Abraham Lincoln had once made a historic 1860 speech opposing the spread of slavery, the pair spoke, separately, at a free event titled ‘Reflections on The Good Friday Agreement: 25 Years of Peace

Ukraine has exposed the limits of drone warfare

As Ukraine prepares for an expected offensive in the spring or summer, key weapons from western countries are bolstering the country’s armed forces. Among the war machines that are expected to make a major impact on the battlefield are Leopard Tanks and other armoured vehicles from the West. What isn’t getting many headlines today are drones for Ukraine. This is a major contrast from the early days of the war, when Ukrainian drones were heroes of the war effort. On the Russian side the reliance on Iranian-made kamikaze drones has also appeared to have diminishing returns for Moscow. The Ukraine war now illustrates the limits of a future dominated by drones on the battlefield.  Several years ago,

Steerpike

Labour turn on each other after attack ad backfires

Oh dear. It seems that there’s something of a briefing war in the Sunday papers over who is to blame for Labour’s misfiring attack advert. On Thursday evening the party released a hard-hitting graphic which read: ‘Do you think adults convicted of sexually assaulting children should go to prison? Rishi Sunak doesn’t’ alongside a smiling photo of the Prime Minister. A series of figures on the Labour left queued up to condemn it, joining a chorus of protest from centrist commentators. So it’s no surprise that the shadow cabinet are now all pointing the finger of blame at each other, as the party debates whether to double down on the strategy. ‘Labour row

Fraser Nelson

Why does the Scottish Tory leader think people should vote Labour?

If Keir Starmer wins the next general election, today’s interview by Douglas Ross will be seen as a point in that victory. To have the Scottish Tory leader suggest that Scots vote, not for his party, but for Labour in seats where Team Starmer is the strongest opponent to the SNP, is quite remarkable – and a signal that the SNP is not the only party in Scotland with serious leadership issues. ‘I will always encourage Scottish Conservative voters to vote Scottish Conservative,’ he has told the Sunday Telegraph. But when it comes to creating more of these Scottish Tory voters ‘I think generally the public can see, and they