James Forsyth

James Forsyth

James Forsyth is former political editor of The Spectator.

The New Year brings bigger, better poll leads for the Tories

Before Christmas, the Tories were acutely aware of the need to start the New Year strongly. This morning’s polls suggest that they have done so. The Tories are now back above 40 percent with ComRes and on course for an overall majority with the pollster that has returned the worst Tory scores in recent months.

How patient will the public be?

As Pete noted earlier we can expect the government to announce a new string of measures to try and get the banking system moving again next week. The key political question is whether action from the Prime Minister revives his poll rating or whether the public conclude that this means that the government’s first effort

James Forsyth

You think Abraham Lincoln had it tough?

James Forsyth says that Barack Obama will need all his remarkable talents to confront an extraordinary set of challenges — not only the economy, but global security Short of wearing a stove-pipe hat, Obama could not make his desire to be compared to Abraham Lincoln any more obvious. He plans to travel to his inauguration

The Tory task on foreign policy

There has been a conspicuous silence from the Tories about David Miliband’s deeply mistaken piece in The Guardian yesterday. While there are not many votes in foreign policy for an opposition, it is vital that a party that wants to be a success in government uses its time out of office to work out its

James Forsyth

The Hunt for a new Tory party chairman

Even if Caroline Spelman is completely exonerated by the Parliamentary Standards Commissioner she’ll still be moved from her post as party chairman. The party needs a better media communicator in the job in the run-up to an election. If the reshuffle rumours are to be believed, Jeremy Hunt is in pole position to replace her.

Lies, damned lies and league tables

According to the school league tables published today no pupils at Eton are “achieving 5 A*-C GCSEs including English and maths”. How can that be? Well, Eton like various other top private school have abandoned GCSEs in certain subjects and instead have their pupils take international GCSEs which don’t count in the league tables. IGCSEs, though,

James Forsyth

It’s a small world at the top

Ben Smith spots a passage in Michael Wolff’s Murdoch biography which might explain why Murdoch’s New York Post is so enthusiastically backing Caroline Kennedy: “As Rupert Murdoch begins to plot to get the Wall Street Journal, he’s also worried about getting Grace into private school in New York. He wants her to go to Brearley,

James Forsyth

Miliband’s argument is bananas

One of the great mysteries of British politics is why David Miliband has a reputation for being a deep-thinker. Far from being a bold new agenda for British foreign policy, his piece in today’s Guardian, which Pete reviewed earlier, is, as Melanie argues, embarrassingly shallow. First, it is hardly ground-breaking to observe that ‘war on

James Forsyth

Damming with faith praise

“If you compare him with an average Russian bureaucrat you’re laughing.” A hilarious–—perhaps unintentionally so—assessment of Gordon Brown from Alexander Lebdev, who is reportedly the new owner of the Evening Standard.

The Ken Clarke conundrum

Having let the Ken Clarke hare run, the Tory leadership are faced by what happens to him dominating reshuffle coverage. If after this Cameron doesn’t bring him back there’ll be a lot of headlines about Cameron bowing to pressure from the right. But if Clarke does return, then the press—egged on by Mandelson—will start speculating

James Forsyth

The Tories try to bring Hague’s vague role into focus

Over Christmas, William Hague’s standing in the party and David Cameron’s authority took a beating from reports that the shadow foreign secretary was prepared to resign rather than give up his outside interests. Today’s joint Cameron-Hague interview in The Sun can be seen as an attempt to move on from that. In an attempt to minimise

The cost of the US deficit

Obama might be right that there is no alternative to the US running “trillion-dollar deficits”. But the $1.7 trillion deficit, its likely size in 2009, is truly alarming. Consider these comparisons that Kevin Hassett provides: “The whole world’s military spending in 2006 totalled a little less than $1.2 trillion. So next year’s U.S. deficit could

Obama will gain from honouring McCain

In a classy gesture, Barack Obama is holding an inaugural eve dinner to honour John McCain. (There are other dinners that night for Colin Powell and Joe Biden). But it is also smart politics, as it costs Obama little and gains him much. McCain is a genuine American hero and the evening will be seen,

James Forsyth

A disaster waiting to happen?

There’s some tough competition but Pakistan is probably the scariest foreign policy problem the world faces. It is where the issues of weak states, Islamic extremism, nuclear weapons and terrorism all come together. Considering Britain’s ties to the place it is a problem that should cause particular concern here. If you doubt how big a

School reforms will bring real social mobility

Labour is right to want to do more to bring working class children into the professions. It is undeniable that middle-class children derive a considerable advantage from the social capital of their parents and the fact that their families can support them in low-paying or unpaid internships. Schemes that can offer those from deprived backgrounds

James Forsyth

Obama’s Iran calculation

The New York Times reports this morning that President Bush rejected an Israeli request for bunker-busting bombs, refuelling capacity and over-flight rights that would have allowed it to hit Iran’s nuclear facilities. It is unclear whether the Israelis were actually planning a strike or whether they merely wanted to emphasise to the Americans that they

America is changing and so must the Republicans

There is a deep divide in Republican circles about how to think about the 2008 election result. Some argue that the results show just how close to becoming a rump party of the Deep South the GOP is. Others say that considering the economic crisis, the drag on the ticket that was the Bush presidency,

James Forsyth

What worries voters most

The unemployment numbers are expected to be grim by the end of this year. But Bagehot notes in this column this week that the Brown circle believes that rising unemployment might not be as big a political deal as it has been in past recessions: “But, in private, some of his associates argue that redundancies