James Forsyth

James Forsyth

James Forsyth is former political editor of The Spectator.

Mortgaged futures

Today’s WSJ reports that almost one in six US homeowners now owe more on their mortgage than their house is worth. 16 percent now do so compared to 4 percent in 2006. Among those who purchased their residence in the last five years, the figure rises to 29 percent. One wonders what the equivalent UK

James Forsyth

All tactics, no strategy

As Matt notes, there is now a truce in the Labour party; the reshuffle has earned Brown the right to die another day. When you look at the reshuffle it becomes clear that Brown has appeased every faction in the Labour party: the Blairites get Mandelson back and McBride moved upstairs, Compass get Jon Trickett

When did Mandelson change his mind about Brown?

I don’t think anyone disputes that Mandelson used to not have a very high opinion of Brown’s premiership. As Danny blogged on Sunday, the Corfu story was in circulation before Mandelson’s shock return but not considered particularly surprising by anybody. But if Kevin Maguire is to be believed, Mandelson was still sticking the knife into

James Forsyth

‘Emergency Labour’

Jackie Ashley coins the telling phrase ‘Emergency Labour’ to describe the party post-Mandelson’s return.  Looking at the reshuffle as a whole one is struck by how little ideological direction there is to it. It does not mark, whatever the headline appearances might suggest, a return to Blairism. Yes, Mandelson is back but at the same

Obama will determine the potency of the novice line

‘This is no time for a novice’ was undoubtedly the line of the conference season. It is the one that people will remember six months from now. But the effectiveness of it will to a significant extent depend on events outside of Brown or Cameron’s control. It looks as if the US presidential race is

McCain has to shake the race up

Sarah Plain survived the VP debate on Thursday night but the trajectory of the race still favours Obama-Biden. If things continue as they are, they will win in something approaching a landslide on November fourth. Over the last few weeks, Obama has built a sizable national poll lead, the polling average puts him 5.7 percent

James Forsyth

The truth about Peronigate

After the Labour conference in Manchester, Iain Martin wrote a very funny post imagining how the whole Ruth Kelly 3am resignation might have leaked out because the Peroni in the bar run out. As with all the best satires, it was the element of truth in it that made it so funny: there was an

James Forsyth

Preventing a stab in the back narrative

One of the things that has most worried the Blairites in recent weeks was that in 2010 they would be blamed for Labour’s loss. Their fear was that the party would lurch to the left, burying New Labour, as a left-wing challenger blamed them for the factionalism and in-fighting of the last few years. The

The temptation the Tories must resist

Just hours after Mandelson’s return had been reported, the Tories blasted out a document full of cutting remarks Mandelson had made about Brown. It was an impressively comprehensive list—there’s a lot of material to cover—but the Tories should cease and desist from this line of attack. In his press conference, Brown was spinning the past

James Forsyth

Some people are sharpening–not burying–their hatchets

Kevin Maguire’s post earlier today showed that some Brownites are not happy about the return of that arch-Blairite Mandelson. Benjamin Wegg-Proser’s demonstrates that some Blairities can’t resist the chance to goad the Brownites. This comment from Wegg-Prosser is not going to encourage détente between the camp followers of the two factions: “Gordon Brown’s acolytes have

James Forsyth

Quote of the day | 3 October 2008

Comment Central has asked various Times contributors if bringing back Peter Mandelson is a masterstroke or a mistake. Matthew Parris’s answer to the question is so good it deserves to be quoted in full: “The masterstroke may come from Mr Mandelson himself, but later. As for the PM’s possible mistake, is it a mistake for

James Forsyth

Palin makes it through the night

The insta-polls are scoring the VP debate to Joe Biden but theMcCain campaign will be mighty relieved that Palin got through the evening without making any major gaffes. The question now is can Palin proceed to regain control of her public initiative and get back to being an asset for the Republican ticket.

If Palin chokes tonight the presidential race could be over

There are signs that the presidential race is on the verge of tipping decisively Obama’s way. A string of polls in battleground states have shown Obama moving into strong leads and even those swing states like Missouri and Florida that were leaning McCain are now going Obama’s way. In a sign of the McCain’s campaign